TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x434c…c096backed Over50c19,157$9,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,578.391315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-57.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c16,234$7,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,632.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c15,654$7,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,821.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under50c12,190$6,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,095.1251350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c9,999$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.51,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under50c9,706$4,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,815.283,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under58c8,375$4,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,550.3383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over50c5,800$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90020948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under50c5,443$2,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.56636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under50c5,175$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over50c4,639$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,318.429650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over50c4,193$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.544352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c3,696$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.042,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c3,167$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over50c3,059$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.6156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over52c2,899$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.731,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00017637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c1,736$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.456,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under53c1,530$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.921,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over41c1,463$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c1,387$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.392,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under50c1,248$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62424045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over51c1,179$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.473,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c1,054$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.144,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c1,013$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.963,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Over52c999.85$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.924131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40035744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under58c763.99$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.613,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c731.44$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.063,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c702.35$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.024,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over51c510.83$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.4366646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-56%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2553863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c469.91$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.292,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6720552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf379…36c0backed Over50c396.96$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.371546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over49c379.52$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.962,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over54c379.28$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8141742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under73c350.58$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.11,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under47c277$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8129245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Over52c258.4$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.373145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13032450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under56c234.81$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7488057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under65c213.81$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.451,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Under52c192.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6447048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over15c175.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.730616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Under62c162.1$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4614455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over53c125.64$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.663,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under49c124$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2419135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.859144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5243453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5118157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x01c9…e50cbacked Under50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+38.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under65c87.65$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4818055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Under52c84.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4718957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Over62c80.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa95d…6a82backed Under60c80.08$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.832931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over48c79.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.381,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over52c76.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.559141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Under67c73.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2715453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over42c71.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8124330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Under64c66.47$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8115253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over55c61.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9216036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over53c60.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9940849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under58c55.68$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4114557.9%84 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x285d…f500backed Over51c51.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.32832.1%9 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-50.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7895…896cbacked Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284250%21 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb0…c7e6backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.253852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under42c47.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.739047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f8…5486backed Over42c46.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.424548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc05e…c64dbacked Under55c41.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.752646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd9…aea9backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010156.4%57 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Over48c32.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4418060.6%109 W · 71 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over50c30.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3150841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed6a…841ebacked Over50c26.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.392277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3d91…7e2ebacked Under54c25.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.432962.1%18 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…d3e6backed Over54c24.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under53c23.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.932,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c48…6af3backed Under50c21.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.87445.9%34 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0d…5087backed Under53c21.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.051729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Under71c17.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0113751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.