TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over51c70,000$35,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,699.9232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2eb…562dbacked Over55c31,024$17,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,201.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Over55c25,315$13,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,923.0459347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c24,233$11,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,720.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c18,151$8,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,516.484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under45c16,479$7,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,063.6515147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under46c15,988$7,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,703.796860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under49c10,145$4,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,173.7440350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over54c10,119$5,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,464.3627747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0824…6d95backed Under48c6,792$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,531.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under44c6,773$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,820.8631644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c6,020$2,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,936.114,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over51c5,832$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under49c5,824$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,970.2425049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x554e…c4d2backed Under46c5,586$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,016.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+77.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Over56c5,357$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00015855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under49c5,281$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,693.2136351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c5,090$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.353,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c35…5850backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4501735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa93d…db7dbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-41.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.7717550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under54c3,631$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.341,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under49c3,355$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.119445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb50…90bfbacked Over52c3,200$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under44c3,010$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.536,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa1…8a66backed Over52c2,800$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Under49c2,775$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.2515450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under54c2,760$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.61,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over46c2,760$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.627747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under49c2,677$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.2758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under53c2,642$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.5124847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c2,479$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under50c2,117$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.576249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under50c1,946$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9731,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c1,874$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Over49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c1,556$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.515,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Under46c1,490$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.63348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under51c1,116$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.773,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over49c1,111$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.3943543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c925.63$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.272,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under46c819.32$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.851,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under46c808.88$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.283,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under44c794.66$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.014953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3a9…12a7backed Over52c791.65$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over58c772.98$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.663,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over55c690.85$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9724151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over31c640.41$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under45c636.22$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.892,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c617.32$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.181,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over49c615$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.422,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under47c505.78$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.5328147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0126…e11abacked Over62c499.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over56c483.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.7222044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c478.72$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under42c448.51$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.995,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Under54c440$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.48252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c432$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.281,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under49c422.45$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4537747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde1c…fb66backed Under45c397.78$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.781450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Under47c395.2$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.26653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07fe…8f90backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Over52c385.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over47c383.47$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6919135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c366.3$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.723,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under41c365.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.431,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over57c350.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe05c…951ebacked Over58c344.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.514332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c337.87$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over60c333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.81,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under51c323.53$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5322953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over70c320.68$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4825846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over49c302$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.691,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over49c295.55$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8216347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked Under42c280$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.49269.6%64 W · 28 L+12.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4eb2…8083backed Over57c250.88$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.515154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under41c246.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4314156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under38c246.43$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2424330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under42c244.21$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6417960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under47c234.02$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under55c219.84$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.990357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under43c200.64$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3663447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9824946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9659144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1027648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9852242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Under51c199.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.996333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under45c179.35$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over54c175$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.21,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over60c166.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9440344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Under49c165.15$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2324150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over63c158.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b45…d5f4backed Under44c155.74$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.742250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under40c155.13$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0829245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.532346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under51c149.02$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.71,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.