NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02026d7e888129d431b4313be3fd47eb8cfe7d8681a24e2da12bfdaf1153456f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 32c | 418.68$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.02 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Rockets | 68c | 418.42$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.38 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rockets | 68c | 131.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Clippers | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Rockets | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 65.6%84 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Clippers | 30c | 61.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Clippers | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Clippers | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Rockets | 75c | 49.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…51d6backed Clippers | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22f…892dbacked Rockets | 51c | 46.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…3036backed Clippers | 30c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Clippers | 30c | 37.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba83…4f66backed Rockets | 70c | 35.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…20e3backed Rockets | 69c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0528backed Rockets | 69c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…dd55backed Rockets | 70c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…16c8backed Rockets | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e6…ac47backed Rockets | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334c…01a1backed Rockets | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…5312backed Rockets | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…8bf3backed Rockets | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…6b7fbacked Rockets | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…1be3backed Rockets | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…73debacked Rockets | 69c | 16.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 137 | 44.5%61 W · 76 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e21…4275backed Rockets | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…1503backed Rockets | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf90…8591backed Rockets | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…e4d5backed Rockets | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…82a2backed Rockets | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Clippers won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Clippers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 211.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.