TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Clippers, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,947,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,039,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,947,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8764…604abacked Clippers27c555,555$150,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,999.787266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe39d…e3dcbacked Clippers27c400,000$107,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,999.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Rockets74c230,640$170,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,172.7643148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers26c217,154$57,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,495.191,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Clippers28c150,000$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,0005154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets73c138,725$101,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,455.711,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets74c137,938$102,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,576.52,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Rockets73c113,718$82,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,785.71,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets73c110,090$80,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,804.164,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Clippers27c100,000$27,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,00048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets72c92,445$66,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,820.111,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets72c81,465$58,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,575.464,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Rockets74c76,505$56,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,263.0819560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Rockets74c75,202$55,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,752.520551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets73c68,450$49,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,481.51,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Rockets72c63,804$45,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,865.1214663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Rockets73c62,093$45,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,765.0923257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d0…a31bbacked Clippers27c51,340$13,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,818.924235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets73c51,300$37,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,85159653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers28c49,387$13,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,813.6460351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers27c45,079$12,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,320.591,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Clippers1c43,124$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.8264517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Rockets73c33,000$24,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,919.8321951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7f…9550backed Clippers27c32,000$8,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,7601850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Rockets74c31,603$23,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,216.717454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Rockets74c30,167$22,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,857.0392753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Rockets74c29,999$22,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.744856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Clippers26c29,987$7,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,796.6215247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Rockets73c27,740$20,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,489.7320948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc15a…e742backed Clippers26c26,488$6,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,886.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Clippers0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets72c23,209$16,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,391.99,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Rockets73c23,100$16,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,198.4629245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Clippers28c23,100$6,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,562.9452760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets72c20,543$14,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,661.631,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Clippers27c20,023$5,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,353.8919150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Rockets73c20,010$14,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,402.5923052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Clippers26c20,005$5,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,201.323245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Rockets74c20,000$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2009857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd915…1d54backed Clippers29c19,700$5,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7132965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe6e…ddf7backed Rockets71c19,698$13,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,712.543129%9 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2354…77b1backed Clippers26c19,204$4,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,993.04333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+75.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a58…61f0backed Rockets74c19,000$14,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,940475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets73c18,931$13,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,047.392,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Clippers1c18,619$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.437211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Rockets74c18,480$13,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,804.816039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x434c…c096backed Clippers30c16,000$4,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,786.841315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-57.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Rockets74c15,997$11,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,159.285349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Rockets72c15,500$11,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,384.9713249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Clippers28c15,500$4,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,384.898052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Rockets73c15,250$11,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,117.537557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d93…d67abacked Rockets74c15,000$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9001376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Clippers0c15,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.81,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Clippers27c15,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7791…af80backed Clippers26c14,981$3,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,947.967441.9%31 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Rockets72c14,900$10,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2118640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Clippers28c14,900$4,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,210.979054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets73c14,897$10,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,990.424,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Rockets74c14,654$10,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,810.0531644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…9aadbacked Rockets73c14,000$10,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7801540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf64a…974bbacked Clippers25c14,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets74c13,853$10,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,589.695,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Clippers28c13,302$3,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,709.4661939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Clippers27c13,251$3,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,602.6338540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Clippers1c13,063$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.631,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d2…796ebacked Clippers27c12,633$3,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,410.859250%46 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Rockets74c12,574$9,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,269.364953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x880a…e678backed Rockets74c12,113$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.682955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Clippers2c11,844$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7f…2658backed Rockets73c11,600$8,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1322157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Rockets75c11,542$8,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,924.6136950.1%185 W · 184 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0f…5aabbacked Clippers30c11,433$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,430.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Clippers20c11,403$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30026640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c57…b973backed Rockets73c11,270$8,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,042.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Clippers27c11,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Clippers6c10,763$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.621,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fdc…a70cbacked Clippers0c10,524$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Clippers28c10,400$2,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9123863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Rockets74c10,395$7,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,702.73351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Rockets73c10,155$7,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,751.061,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets73c10,039$7,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,754.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Clippers26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Clippers26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Clippers27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70027424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Rockets73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7005156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Clippers20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc57f…e9d1backed Clippers27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Rockets73c9,592$7,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.7862652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Rockets72c9,395$6,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,630.69260.9%56 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Clippers27c9,118$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.9314344.8%64 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Clippers29c9,000$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,57032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rockets72c8,770$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.4372450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Clippers30c8,734$2,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,656.8419136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Rockets72c8,629$6,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.7850241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers19c8,264$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.423,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Rockets74c8,196$6,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.9685248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Rockets71c8,001$5,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,320.2911244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Rockets74c8,000$5,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12035744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Clippers28c8,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9114055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.