TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 211.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,756 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34f6…4535backed Over50c20,188$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0004355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c13,555$6,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,926.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2eb…562dbacked Over58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c6,857$2,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,929.013,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x613f…b4efbacked Over54c6,111$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12022648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x819c…1472backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Under55c2,555$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.7539051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3751,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x942a…8270backed Under46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3502100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under47c2,489$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.3617550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c2,305$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c2,256$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.074,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under50c2,143$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.4242648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over50c1,920$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.083,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under45c1,867$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.71,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under42c1,612$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.129245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c1,593$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.666,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under51c1,045$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50733146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c1,039$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.944,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.45448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under43c859.43$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.4320948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c800.54$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42424450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under53c755.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3551,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under47c744.79$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.9719135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c629.55$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.125,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a17…6c68backed Under46c611.1$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under42c532.91$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.0922643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c478.72$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over56c446.74$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.093,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Over55c370.91$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20426044.6%116 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c309.53$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.152,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Over57c289.47$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16532151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked Under46c288$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.529269.6%64 W · 28 L+12.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under43c240.69$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.665,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008158%47 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Over53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205147.1%24 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Over57c217.84$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.172744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3363447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under47c166.41$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over54c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Under49c145.38$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.399349.5%46 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c144.3$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.423,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over53c139.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.891,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf379…36c0backed Over54c138.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.781546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Over58c134.59$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0515453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over53c133.36$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6854351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under47c123.64$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over51c120.77$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4740541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under50c98.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2666646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed Under45c73.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.491566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Under47c71.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9918957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Over59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under63c52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.061,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under48c51.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9839756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under46c51.85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Under41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.57346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.521849.5%108 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.543246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7614450%72 W · 72 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under39c39.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3939047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under47c39.19$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Over54c34.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.631931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under50c34.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0637949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.437037.3%138 W · 232 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9831…9578backed Under56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.24761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over50c29.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over60c28.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.140849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c25.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.742,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over54c25.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8157657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddd…5042backed Over59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515758%91 W · 66 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec89…8de0backed Under43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.165860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb665…0a43backed Under55c24.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.895234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b72…5b75backed Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.44452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e12…9ba1backed Over56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b58…c920backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104856.3%27 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa68d…e03bbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105747.4%27 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ab4…50acbacked Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.68351.8%43 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d19…e2fdbacked Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.45961%36 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebfe…bdd0backed Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.64264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7109…a765backed Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.67154.9%39 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c7…b84abacked Under52c19.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.65757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.