NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaca59dfeb2e208942109f5165c3745c6e52161cd630b694486d60138395ee93a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 11,639$6,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,014.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 47c | 5,555$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.31 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 4,477$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 2,755$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.33 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 2,142$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Under | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 425.55$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.55 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 420.17$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.49 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 50c | 345$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 287.45$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.73 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 107.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 51c | 103.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 80.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 52c | 75.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 71.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Over | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…add5backed Over | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 25c | 46.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 53c | 40.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 54c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 47c | 33.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 32.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Under | 67c | 31.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 52c | 31.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 54c | 29.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 51c | 29.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 63c | 28.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 53c | 28.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 46c | 27.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 46c | 24.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 53c | 24.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 56c | 21.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Under | 62c | 19.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Clippers won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Clippers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 211.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.