TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,503 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over53c47,953$25,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,261.8132653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c15,080$6,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,260.834,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c12,570$5,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,624.379,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Under47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3006152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over56c8,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.9827747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c35…5850backed Under49c6,300$3,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2131735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa93d…db7dbacked Over51c6,300$3,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2131729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-41.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under48c5,005$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.721,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under47c4,272$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.136351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c4,247$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.624,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under44c4,000$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.6522648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under44c3,046$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.753,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c2,710$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.578,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c2,521$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.4969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over49c2,449$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under51c2,058$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.222,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under39c2,020$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.0222643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under48c2,019$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.521,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.791,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x266d…083fbacked Over66c1,764$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1725664.3%36 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under34c1,751$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.841,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under49c1,684$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.6756043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under47c1,489$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.1758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over1c1,477$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7767921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under41c1,476$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.723,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under48c1,447$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.812,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under47c1,385$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.9917960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c1,258$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.796,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Under45c1,110$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.522143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over52c1,101$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.783,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under39c1,036$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.7854246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over63c1,001$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63013464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c1,001$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.865,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under48c996$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.9231644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a80…8c5ebacked Under44c880.68$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.187439.2%29 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over48c868.66$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.9651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under41c708.04$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.955,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c657.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.94,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over51c610.84$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.4119135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Over64c471.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c468.75$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Under47c422.22$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7820856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under46c419.99$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.7962744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Under47c418$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5417644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c407.47$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.681,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under41c388.28$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0952052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa952…14a5backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under47c378$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.341,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958f…7d5abacked Over54c370.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1713464.2%86 W · 48 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over58c344.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…e8b4backed Over63c318.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Over59c271.67$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605147.1%24 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Under45c242.4$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.549349.5%46 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf19…976bbacked Over52c215.21$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.912045%9 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over51c203.53$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.552,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd47b…78cdbacked Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163372.7%24 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c194.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.351,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c61…4fa6backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.317057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under48c167.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5837949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under50c166.06$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0320949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under47c164.25$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6939756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over62c160.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under45c159$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4966646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf490…cdd9backed Over58c155.17$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2031…5ee7backed Under39c154.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.31330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-43.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Over58c138.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015149%74 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over62c137.27$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0530151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Over58c137.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5514547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2126956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2117353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under42c117.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6712152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa95d…6a82backed Under41c117.39$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.262931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under46c111.59$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2662541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Under47c110.42$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9124150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5442551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5441354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under42c98.14$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9228147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a6e…2100backed Over63c97.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over60c93.84$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.181,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under45c92.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1515649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Under43c88.64$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3418957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b8…c5cabacked Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over54c80.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under52c77.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.583,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over42c77.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2390357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Under39c76.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.521931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Over42c74.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.533641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over60c74.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7740849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under48c70.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.924151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under49c70.82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0833653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over60c70.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1559141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307855.1%43 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c53.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under62c53.44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4418055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309642.7%41 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Over53c50.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.744852.1%25 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.