TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x266d…083f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
166
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Macro Indicators at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT5664.3%36 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.53
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$10.39
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.96
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.23
Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.26
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$171.39
Knicks vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.47
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$84.86
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,666.91
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,172
Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$166.67
Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$44.3
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$12.83
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$22.3
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$134.78
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$24.26
76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$24.89
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Bulls vs. Raptors: 1H Moneylinebacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+37%+$12.21
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.47
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$10.34
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+60%+$480.08
Samsunspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+127.3%+$16.55
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$33.95
Will PSV win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$16.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$47.1
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+25%+$7.25
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$30.15
Counter-Strike: OG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.9%+$66.92
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+53.5%+$26.74
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+37%+$9.25
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.6%+$103.16
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$16.19
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$95.9
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$147
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+37.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+54.9%+$8.23
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$56.19
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$47.95
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$47.68
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$143.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$10.86
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.62
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$14.96
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.68
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.8%+$3.49
Will the Japan Innovation Party win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.65
Creighton Bluejays vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.22
Colgate Raiders vs. Boston Terriersbacked Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$553.69
New Mexico Lobos vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$25.42
All 4 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+65.2%+$16.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$9.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+34.1%+$12.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$9.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$92.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$525
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the January 2026 FOMC decision result in no change with <2 dissents?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.