CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8abf8708a1e7c8f92e32ef070cc84075439572873eb144fe8f2c5c21aea09943
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $837,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $955,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $837,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Astralis | 39c | 257,603$99,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,686.36 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Astralis | 39c | 158,164$61,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,672.23 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed FUT Esports | 61c | 99,662$60,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,868.37 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed FUT Esports | 61c | 78,299$47,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,536.45 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed FUT Esports | 60c | 72,394$43,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,916.32 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports | 65c | 46,643$30,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,333.59 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 45,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked FUT Esports | 61c | 40,000$24,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.98 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Astralis | 39c | 35,941$14,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,016.83 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked Astralis | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.98 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed FUT Esports | 71c | 22,558$16,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,508.71 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis | 39c | 19,776$7,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,712.73 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked FUT Esports | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis | 39c | 12,010$4,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640.73 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed FUT Esports | 61c | 11,941$7,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,656.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Astralis | 18c | 11,590$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.88 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Astralis | 15c | 11,575$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.81 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Astralis | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.93 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked FUT Esports | 63c | 9,844$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.22 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis | 16c | 8,827$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.37 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 8,643$5,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.28 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed FUT Esports | 60c | 8,614$5,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.85 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed FUT Esports | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed FUT Esports | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked FUT Esports | 62c | 6,990$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.37 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed FUT Esports | 60c | 6,659$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.72 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Astralis | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed FUT Esports | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed FUT Esports | 61c | 5,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Astralis | 12c | 4,823$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.2 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Astralis | 40c | 4,666$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.39 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…40ebbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 4,585$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Astralis | 39c | 4,236$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.29 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed Astralis | 39c | 4,082$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked FUT Esports | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Astralis | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Astralis | 40c | 4,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 22c | 3,720$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.32 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed FUT Esports | 59c | 3,633$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.43 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed FUT Esports | 60c | 3,352$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.67 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis | 9c | 3,302$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.32 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Astralis | 38c | 3,300$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…fcc9backed FUT Esports | 61c | 3,208$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.11 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Astralis | 3c | 3,167$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…d946backed Astralis | 40c | 3,143$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed FUT Esports | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaf…1441backed FUT Esports | 60c | 2,989$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed FUT Esports | 62c | 2,900$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…1a4ebacked FUT Esports | 60c | 2,600$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Astralis | 39c | 2,517$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.54 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed FUT Esports | 61c | 2,481$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.49 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed FUT Esports | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.02 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked FUT Esports | 60c | 2,425$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a4…0830backed FUT Esports | 61c | 2,241$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Astralis | 7c | 2,057$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.32 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis | 14c | 2,000$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.27 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked FUT Esports | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed FUT Esports | 65c | 2,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed Astralis | 13c | 1,946$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.66 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Astralis | 33c | 1,749$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.03 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Astralis | 38c | 1,700$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports | 67c | 1,694$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.57 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Astralis | 38c | 1,589$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FUT Esports | 72c | 1,489$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.93 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc939…6e0fbacked Astralis | 39c | 1,412$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Astralis | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.99 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Astralis | 12c | 1,366$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.09 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Astralis | 39c | 1,310$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.72 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked FUT Esports | 75c | 1,305$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.47 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed FUT Esports | 60c | 1,298$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.07 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Astralis | 39c | 1,150$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…1fafbacked Astralis | 26c | 1,141$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.89 | 190 | 22.6%43 W · 147 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FUT Esports | 61c | 1,140$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.78 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Astralis | 9c | 1,130$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…3d43backed FUT Esports | 62c | 1,048$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 1,014$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.98 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Astralis | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…a117backed Astralis | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed FUT Esports | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Astralis | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed FUT Esports | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…fdcebacked Astralis | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked FUT Esports | 61c | 953.33$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.33 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Esports | 73c | 949.75$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.2 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed FUT Esports | 72c | 925.61$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.36 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed FUT Esports | 64c | 900$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 242 | 62%150 W · 92 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Astralis | 33c | 817.6$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.76 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked FUT Esports | 62c | 807.94$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.94 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ad4bbacked FUT Esports | 62c | 807$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.66 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Astralis | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Astralis | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked FUT Esports | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed FUT Esports | 60c | 799.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis | 24c | 784.18$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.46 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 783$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.98 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Astralis | 39c | 769$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.91 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.