TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,686 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Astralis31c9,511$2,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.373,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e9…fcc9backed FUT Esports70c7,804$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.345954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Astralis24c6,102$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.4633043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Astralis31c5,662$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.3235850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Astralis22c5,613$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.1224550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed FUT Esports67c4,555$3,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.0775550.6%382 W · 373 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Astralis31c4,449$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3873537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis26c4,380$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.871,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Astralis30c4,135$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.5972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis35c3,957$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.6182143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Astralis31c3,860$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.9213952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fd9…3373backed FUT Esports72c3,200$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8966752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed FUT Esports59c3,122$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.7233452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb20…d0bdbacked FUT Esports65c3,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed FUT Esports69c3,073$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.5597240.7%396 W · 576 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked FUT Esports72c3,028$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.2316448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed FUT Esports57c2,696$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.1941850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis23c2,628$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.37,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked FUT Esports72c2,072$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.4132348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FUT Esports60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Astralis31c1,810$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.3336845.1%166 W · 202 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis29c1,777$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.3561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc76…3af1backed FUT Esports71c1,700$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.55048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Astralis43c1,501$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.971,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed FUT Esports68c1,500$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Astralis33c1,321$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.8822045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Astralis20c1,310$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.869153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked FUT Esports72c1,277$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.018444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Astralis34c1,175$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Astralis32c1,009$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32347347.1%223 W · 250 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Astralis27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Astralis14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408661.6%53 W · 33 L+13.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Astralis30c1,000$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.964652.8%341 W · 305 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Astralis31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed FUT Esports75c826.61$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.7155343.2%239 W · 314 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed FUT Esports62c800$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30326451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Astralis21c761.1$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9938844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FUT Esports58c749.99$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.81,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Astralis27c714$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.886829.4%20 W · 48 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis29c699$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7198352.4%515 W · 468 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Astralis27c628$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.445,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed FUT Esports59c616.95$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9531452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Astralis31c607.07$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.194755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Astralis43c573.31$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.272334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis23c474.21$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.535,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Astralis18c467.76$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.91,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked FUT Esports67c466.76$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0314971.8%107 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Esports75c466.59$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.716,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Astralis25c453.75$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2119355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Astralis47c448.49$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.5739851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7218…8b34backed FUT Esports68c442.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.119268.5%63 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed FUT Esports74c432.29$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.294843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8280…e451backed FUT Esports69c429.99$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0856…2d20backed FUT Esports72c414.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.641631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x022d…d8cebacked FUT Esports75c401.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3317050%85 W · 85 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Astralis41c376$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.165048%24 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9edf…0f44backed Astralis27c375.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x688d…f3cfbacked FUT Esports69c362.54$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Astralis36c350$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12653945.5%245 W · 294 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked FUT Esports68c337.19$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.927749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Astralis16c313.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018250%91 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Astralis32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025640.2%103 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Astralis43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12983643.5%364 W · 472 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Astralis31c299$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6920942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed FUT Esports73c273.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1153850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Astralis37c267.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Astralis38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008053.8%43 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Astralis27c250$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.292138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c2…190bbacked Astralis27c220.54$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.446643.9%29 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed FUT Esports61c215.39$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8523433.3%78 W · 156 L-22.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked FUT Esports67c212.85$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2453859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked FUT Esports53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9412256.6%69 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed FUT Esports53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Astralis10c200$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1931933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Astralis24c194$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5626443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed FUT Esports67c190$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.929465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed FUT Esports69c180$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.823057%131 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed FUT Esports56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5727950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc7…40d7backed FUT Esports71c173.24$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked FUT Esports59c171.07$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.629353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Astralis10c170.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3519653.1%104 W · 92 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Astralis33c168.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5519935.7%71 W · 128 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f2…11a5backed FUT Esports67c149.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.53148.4%15 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed FUT Esports72c149.7$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9265946.9%309 W · 350 L+18.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis28c149.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.874,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf693…202fbacked FUT Esports69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9318167.4%122 W · 59 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc255…0470backed FUT Esports70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8614863.5%94 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x355c…2c1cbacked FUT Esports71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855952.5%31 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed FUT Esports73c137.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.195867.2%39 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf27e…d69dbacked FUT Esports71c131.85$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2412050.8%61 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Astralis16c130$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.470423.9%168 W · 536 L+2.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed FUT Esports79c130$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.393261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Astralis18c129.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2252834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Astralis21c124.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5721528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x278c…b446backed Astralis24c122.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Astralis43c116.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0652750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked FUT Esports68c109.96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9660857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Astralis43c107.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.21,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5309…c6c7backed FUT Esports69c105.88$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8215151.7%78 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf91…5010backed FUT Esports69c104.67$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.24660.9%28 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.