CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x973c62c60cad4ecc67d1f4b7008fc038555a440d2f34aa4d29d2e8761ad6f6b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Astralis | 46c | 4,906$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.47 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…1160backed Astralis | 2c | 3,858$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 207 | 32.4%67 W · 140 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked FUT Esports | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…1b03backed Astralis | 27c | 1,819$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis | 47c | 1,704$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.69 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports | 72c | 1,533$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.89 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked FUT Esports | 71c | 1,358$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.05 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed FUT Esports | 54c | 1,261$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.39 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed FUT Esports | 55c | 1,201$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.12 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…d235backed FUT Esports | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed FUT Esports | 68c | 1,114$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.37 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Astralis | 32c | 1,087$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed FUT Esports | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Astralis | 29c | 999.94$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Astralis | 22c | 967.23$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.79 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Astralis | 42c | 958.09$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.68 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked FUT Esports | 53c | 841.43$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.47 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed FUT Esports | 70c | 772.22$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.92 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Astralis | 37c | 704.22$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.84 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 23c | 681.59$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.09 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis | 30c | 647.21$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Astralis | 23c | 604.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.35 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…cf08backed Astralis | 34c | 580.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports | 77c | 567.57$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.19 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports | 71c | 530.36$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.8 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…2bb7backed Astralis | 47c | 506.34$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…c2b4backed FUT Esports | 57c | 490$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77f…05a4backed Astralis | 43c | 490$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.7 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Astralis | 21c | 488.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked FUT Esports | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed FUT Esports | 75c | 400$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Astralis | 7c | 399.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…f764backed Astralis | 31c | 387.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked FUT Esports | 76c | 376.84$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked FUT Esports | 54c | 338$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.48 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed FUT Esports | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis | 46c | 299.26$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.87 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Astralis | 36c | 278.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed FUT Esports | 69c | 233.33$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Astralis | 47c | 231.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Astralis | 28c | 225$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed FUT Esports | 72c | 225$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Astralis | 15c | 224.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed FUT Esports | 53c | 218.94$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Astralis | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FUT Esports | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…b3e8backed FUT Esports | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed FUT Esports | 54c | 185.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Astralis | 6c | 175.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 28c | 154.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Astralis | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96d…aa92backed FUT Esports | 69c | 145.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4695…210abacked FUT Esports | 74c | 135.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked FUT Esports | 73c | 134$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed FUT Esports | 74c | 115.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports | 67c | 104.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Astralis | 46c | 102.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…9fb7backed Astralis | 26c | 102.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Astralis | 49c | 102.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…ab0ebacked Astralis | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Astralis | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked FUT Esports | 79c | 98.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Astralis | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked FUT Esports | 77c | 76.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Astralis | 28c | 76.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Astralis | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…b3a8backed Astralis | 15c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed FUT Esports | 52c | 66.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Astralis | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Astralis | 24c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…a2a4backed FUT Esports | 66c | 53.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked FUT Esports | 57c | 52.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Astralis | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astralis | 27c | 49.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Astralis | 31c | 45.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed FUT Esports | 58c | 42.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed FUT Esports | 71c | 40.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…500cbacked Astralis | 27c | 39.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Astralis | 38c | 33.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…ec13backed FUT Esports | 54c | 29.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…93c2backed Astralis | 38c | 26.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…d7f4backed FUT Esports | 54c | 20.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed FUT Esports | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed FUT Esports | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed FUT Esports | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Esports | 78c | 16.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed FUT Esports | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1FUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.