TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0db7…d7f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.47
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked Rebels Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+335.8%+$76.5
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs SAW (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Bbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
Counter-Strike: M80 vs JiJieHao (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+153.1%+$38.27
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.12
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$32.16
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$26.2
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.26
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs FURIA fe (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked FURIA fe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.63
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+76.6%+$13.88
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Nexus (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$11.59
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MANA eSports - Map 1 Winnerbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.57
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Cherbourg: Remy Bertola vs Borna Gojobacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Cap Cana: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Valentin Royerbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cap Cana: Dalibor Svrcina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.11
BNP Paribas Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Baez (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Vit Koprivabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.75
BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$20.56
BNP Paribas Open: Marcos Giron vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$17.15
BNP Paribas Open: Nuno Borges vs Emilio Navabacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.7
BNP Paribas Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Leandro Riedi vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.61
Chile Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
St. Brieuc: Laurent Lokoli vs Clement Chidekhbacked Laurent Lokoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.53
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.98
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.29
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+76%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$10.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$18.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.