Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07b8f8f4e3dbce3500cc92907f5a1a490654d9a780e5bbf8bce6841cb7762f80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rybakinaof Rybakina, Svitolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,731 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Svitolina | 34c | 3,237$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.09 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rybakina | 65c | 2,801$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.9 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Rybakina | 47c | 1,020$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.6 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Svitolina | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Svitolina | 52c | 999.96$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Svitolina | 39c | 697.77$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.06 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rybakina | 54c | 547.1$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.74 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Rybakina | 48c | 427.08$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.08 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Rybakina | 48c | 413.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.93 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rybakina | 45c | 324.43$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.13 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rybakina | 46c | 312.32$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.65 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Svitolina | 54c | 275.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…fad9backed Svitolina | 55c | 110.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +162.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Rybakina | 65c | 91.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…da11backed Svitolina | 79c | 83.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Rybakina | 66c | 79.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -9.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Svitolina | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…91aabacked Svitolina | 53c | 71.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Rybakina | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Svitolina | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Rybakina | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Svitolina | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 526 | 61.2%322 W · 204 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Svitolina | 43c | 52.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Rybakina | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Rybakina | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…6100backed Rybakina | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…7d50backed Rybakina | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Svitolina | 55c | 48.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…2b95backed Rybakina | 40c | 45.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Rybakina | 48c | 31.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Svitolina | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…475cbacked Rybakina | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…4968backed Rybakina | 41c | 28.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…d7f4backed Rybakina | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…84a2backed Svitolina | 53c | 22.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Rybakina | 65c | 15.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 176 | 62.5%110 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)this page
- BNP Paribas Open: Elena Rybakina vs Elina SvitolinaElena Rybakina won
- Elena Rybakina vs. Elina Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Rybakina vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Rybakina vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Rybakina vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs SvitolinaRybakina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.