TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof MOUZ, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$322,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$387,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,057 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed MOUZ0c25,563$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5656732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed MOUZ64c18,440$11,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,80012649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed MOUZ73c15,714$11,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,469.1911550.4%58 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked FUT Esports26c15,117$3,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,261.1430726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ55c14,870$8,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,147.8939248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FUT Esports45c13,989$6,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,699.321,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FUT Esports50c11,708$5,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,850.212,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked MOUZ64c10,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,40022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked FUT Esports36c9,867$3,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,314.929855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FUT Esports42c9,764$4,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,655.784,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FUT Esports40c8,274$3,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9923,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ57c6,458$3,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,710.91,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed FUT Esports36c6,416$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,106.478050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked FUT Esports38c6,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,75025555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ59c5,671$3,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,321.862,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FUT Esports42c5,018$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,932.143,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ40c4,940$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.463,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ64c4,676$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.911,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ64c4,599$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.761,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ62c4,245$2,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.9788746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed MOUZ60c3,615$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.2746949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked MOUZ71c3,118$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.8724538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed FUT Esports36c3,072$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.872642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed MOUZ62c2,601$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.0425845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed MOUZ63c2,500$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Esports41c2,218$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3166,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked FUT Esports36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2809343%40 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed FUT Esports35c1,930$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.3446149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed MOUZ79c1,929$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5329340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ66c1,853$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.742,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked MOUZ62c1,833$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.7318736.9%69 W · 118 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked FUT Esports36c1,735$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.9981244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked FUT Esports38c1,626$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.3929235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab35…60f6backed MOUZ62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.055534.5%19 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed FUT Esports34c1,584$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.364337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed MOUZ79c1,584$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.0325251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed MOUZ64c1,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013546.7%63 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed MOUZ65c1,535$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked MOUZ65c1,477$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96032548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ49c1,442$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.5846345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FUT Esports37c1,425$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.861,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FUT Esports49c1,336$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.3975245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked MOUZ68c1,235$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8409258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed MOUZ80c1,143$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.956245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed MOUZ54c1,116$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked FUT Esports40c1,100$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66035850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked MOUZ1c1,084$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118554.1%100 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed FUT Esports12c1,059$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.9213043.1%56 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed FUT Esports47c1,017$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.7350043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed MOUZ64c973.52$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.0546749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed FUT Esports47c949.39$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.5952947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked FUT Esports39c929.95$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.214839.2%58 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed MOUZ55c913.34$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb145…df85backed FUT Esports11c889.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.343129%9 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ74c888.99$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.865,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57c7…b2cabacked FUT Esports37c877.39$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.761526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed FUT Esports34c822.56$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.8133960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed FUT Esports43c814.11$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.1148437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked MOUZ53c813.96$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.428443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ62c806$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7260248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed FUT Esports47c803.91$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.915151%26 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked FUT Esports35c800$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5209537.9%36 W · 59 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked FUT Esports2c800$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78169624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FUT Esports34c778.46$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.961,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed FUT Esports37c761.26$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.7860848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed FUT Esports40c758.83$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.8322952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked FUT Esports48c729.17$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.1718049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed MOUZ80c700$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56010663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x222b…3becbacked MOUZ63c693.6$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4351050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed FUT Esports38c677.75$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.9241850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FUT Esports34c677.54$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.084,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f4…83a0backed MOUZ80c603.99$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.191553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed FUT Esports37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37844648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed FUT Esports36c558.98$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.7517857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports37c557.43$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.185,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed FUT Esports37c551.73$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.594057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed FUT Esports60c549.33$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3334156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked FUT Esports37c542$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.1414355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed MOUZ64c535.94$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34329851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked FUT Esports39c507.9$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.6818043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed FUT Esports36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32024134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5085…9bbcbacked FUT Esports45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed MOUZ64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked FUT Esports28c475$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.1711644.8%52 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3290…d1ffbacked MOUZ58c468.93$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.476246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ57c422.88$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.862,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed MOUZ12c418.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed MOUZ60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508066.3%53 W · 27 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4361…9408backed FUT Esports48c405.23$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.721947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked FUT Esports30c401.97$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.9711636.2%42 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed MOUZ61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8914148.9%69 W · 72 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24439851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked FUT Esports40c389$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.349745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed FUT Esports34c376.58$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.5411928.6%34 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf833…9e29backed MOUZ62c370.3$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.59650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed MOUZ80c368$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.428453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed FUT Esports51c357$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.4924641.9%103 W · 143 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5664backed FUT Esports39c352$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.728242.7%35 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked MOUZ67c342.63$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22926046.2%120 W · 140 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed FUT Esports38c342.58$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.417240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.