CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a55d57c2dd70e7ef118a83ad986aaeeaae1429913fe3719a0953545f04c3ae

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: FUT Esportsof MOUZ, FUT Esports
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,232

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,232 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf27e…2748backed MOUZ	1c	8,543$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed FUT Esports	57c	6,939$3,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,972.55	670	41.8%280 W · 390 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports	44c	2,351$1,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,323.5	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ	45c	2,080$931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.2	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked MOUZ	42c	1,953$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.37	284	43.7%124 W · 160 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked MOUZ	43c	1,500$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645	612	28.9%177 W · 435 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed MOUZ	45c	1,265$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569	249	44.6%111 W · 138 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked MOUZ	42c	1,179$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.78	362	45.3%164 W · 198 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FUT Esports	57c	1,154$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.72	1,714	46.7%801 W · 913 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed MOUZ	54c	1,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	124	46.8%58 W · 66 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked FUT Esports	55c	1,000$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	980	52.4%514 W · 466 L	+26.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed MOUZ	65c	999.99$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	298	51.3%153 W · 145 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed MOUZ	43c	930.23$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	364	50.3%183 W · 181 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed MOUZ	42c	877.32$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.47	303	40.3%122 W · 181 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked FUT Esports	68c	734.51$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.23	812	44.3%360 W · 452 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed MOUZ	43c	702.87$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.79	604	51%308 W · 296 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked FUT Esports	56c	699.99$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308	1,144	49.4%565 W · 579 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed FUT Esports	58c	656.42$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.81	139	37.4%52 W · 87 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked MOUZ	42c	654.23$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.78	93	43%40 W · 53 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed FUT Esports	56c	535.91$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.8	75	37.3%28 W · 47 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1854…be98backed MOUZ	42c	520$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.4	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.7wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e2b…2de7backed FUT Esports	58c	520$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.4	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked MOUZ	43c	519.26$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.28	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked MOUZ	43c	517.6$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.57	109	45%49 W · 60 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed MOUZ	44c	515.91$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227	140	44.3%62 W · 78 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed FUT Esports	44c	505.68$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.68	593	43.2%256 W · 337 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c7…4332backed MOUZ	43c	469.35$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.82	176	44.3%78 W · 98 L	-17.8wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed MOUZ	43c	465.12$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	503	40.2%202 W · 301 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked FUT Esports	55c	409.26$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.17	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked FUT Esports	55c	333$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.85	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1349…359bbacked MOUZ	44c	329.08$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.86	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe902…eda4backed MOUZ	59c	305.36$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed MOUZ	42c	300$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	220	45.5%100 W · 120 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44fc…9728backed FUT Esports	58c	300$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked FUT Esports	61c	250$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.55	535	45%241 W · 294 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d1…ba29backed MOUZ	39c	250$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	101	39.6%40 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed MOUZ	42c	240$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	137	40.9%56 W · 81 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed MOUZ	44c	230$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.98	207	32.4%67 W · 140 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FUT Esports	44c	199.05$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.84	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc110…f3eabacked MOUZ	43c	183.72$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	101	56.4%57 W · 44 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed FUT Esports	59c	169.36$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.44	146	54.8%80 W · 66 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6e…d043backed FUT Esports	58c	156.21$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.61	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x911f…5ed0backed MOUZ	43c	148.84$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed MOUZ	44c	136.36$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	613	38.2%234 W · 379 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked MOUZ	41c	134.39$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.1	583	43.6%254 W · 329 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed MOUZ	48c	124.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	428	45.6%195 W · 233 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3469…3676backed MOUZ	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.27per pick	51cpaid	+56%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa775…ab33backed MOUZ	45c	109.98$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.39	195	54.4%106 W · 89 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed FUT Esports	58c	104$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.68	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed FUT Esports	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc975…2c68backed MOUZ	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed FUT Esports	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	211	37.4%79 W · 132 L	-9.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4714…c177backed FUT Esports	59c	84.16$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.16	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked MOUZ	67c	82.86$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.51	656	62.3%409 W · 247 L	+27.8wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed MOUZ	49c	81.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	259	41.3%107 W · 152 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed FUT Esports	45c	73.69$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.61	388	44.6%173 W · 215 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked MOUZ	42c	71.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.2	361	52.6%190 W · 171 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked FUT Esports	35c	71.43$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.43	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed MOUZ	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-6.5wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6a63…9664backed FUT Esports	58c	53.89$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11ae…b4ffbacked FUT Esports	56c	53.53$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.38	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed MOUZ	43c	52.26$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.47	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77a5…f731backed FUT Esports	58c	51.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2927…05fcbacked FUT Esports	58c	51.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed MOUZ	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	347	42.9%149 W · 198 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed MOUZ	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	191	55.5%106 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked MOUZ	42c	49.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	306	39.5%121 W · 185 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4373…7c78backed MOUZ	43c	43.26$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed MOUZ	54c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	958	49.8%477 W · 481 L	-17.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x148f…2f09backed FUT Esports	58c	34.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-4.2wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed MOUZ	52c	34.02$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.78	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed FUT Esports	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	446	54.9%245 W · 201 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b6…fdefbacked FUT Esports	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	103	37.9%39 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c75…de96backed FUT Esports	60c	33.42$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.42	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.4wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked FUT Esports	58c	30.33$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.59	43	72.1%31 W · 12 L	+6.7wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked FUT Esports	44c	29.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.79	295	47.8%141 W · 154 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f788backed MOUZ	45c	28.83$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	163	38.7%63 W · 100 L	-13.8wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed FUT Esports	58c	25.64$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.64	123	55.3%68 W · 55 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed FUT Esports	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	128	56.3%72 W · 56 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsFUT Esports won
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event