TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a63…9664

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$55.53
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.56
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.17
Trail Blazers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.27
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.18
Spread: Kings (-3.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$25.11
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.73
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$27.55
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+54.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs 8Sins (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group Bbacked 8Sins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Counter-Strike: OG vs Nexus (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked Nexus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.33
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$160.97
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Alliance (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28.58
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$22.63
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+234.4%+$35.74
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.56
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+84.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$39.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bruno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.