Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ed3f124649f84816371da9aa7d42f79a8a6efc01c623c2b0b27660c61abe568
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,741 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Under | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 60c | 12,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…4dffbacked Over | 40c | 6,888$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7725…3d5ebacked Over | 40c | 4,900$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…8b41backed Over | 40c | 4,589$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 40c | 3,233$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.1 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 60c | 3,202$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.8 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c06…8478backed Over | 40c | 3,125$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 2,243$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.79 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…6409backed Over | 40c | 1,928$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 40c | 639$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Over | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Over | 40c | 505$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Under | 60c | 430$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 60c | 417.65$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.06 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 40c | 303.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 5c | 275.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 40c | 246$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 38c | 165.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7123…59b9backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 40c | 162.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa69e…f9f6backed Over | 40c | 152$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 61c | 121.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 60c | 116$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 40c | 112.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 39c | 96.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 39c | 95.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…ea8ebacked Over | 39c | 92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Under | 61c | 92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 38c | 86.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 39c | 74.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 61c | 71.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Under | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…9664backed Under | 61c | 61.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…e727backed Under | 61c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 39c | 54.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…fb27backed Under | 61c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 40c | 42.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Under | 61c | 36.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…9dd9backed Over | 40c | 36.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…4053backed Over | 40c | 33.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…5366backed Under | 61c | 32.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…3580backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 40c | 28.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c3…0920backed Under | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803b…6a1fbacked Under | 61c | 27.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Under | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5418…0207backed Under | 61c | 25.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Under | 61c | 25.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7d08backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Under | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…5019backed Under | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Under | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Under won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5Under won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.