Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ce4dd9ec43c8f01b4bb8d6dc7bf894585decdd1bb600e44dbfcecbeedabf27c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846of Eintracht Frankfurt, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,575 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 62c | 2,774$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.11 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 38c | 2,690$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 62c | 2,218$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.04 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 62c | 1,705$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.73 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 62c | 1,238$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.85 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 35c | 804.13$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 70c | 642.44$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.48 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 38c | 625.53$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 62c | 490.66$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.71 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 38c | 479$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142b…c8c9backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 39c | 431.72$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 69c | 425.79$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.81 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 39c | 360$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 59c | 298.98$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.29 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 26c | 201$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 39c | 180$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 39c | 166.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 29c | 166.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 74c | 113$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 63c | 69.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 38c | 68.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 40c | 68.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 34c | 55.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…40a3backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 41c | 48.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 66c | 39.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 59c | 35.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 39c | 30.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…96cebacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 38c | 29.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 38c | 28.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 64c | 24.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…3d34backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 64c | 20.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5286…1b4cbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 62c | 16.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Under won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5Under won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5Under won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.