TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24a1…3d34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Mls, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$12.45
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.7
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.75
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$20.11
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.37
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.55
Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$44.62
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.12
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.43
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.77
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$18.02
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$21.05
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.27
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$30.41
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-5.5)backed UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.81
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-25.5)backed Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-18.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$21.55
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-12.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$25.24
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-30.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$21.16
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-6.5)backed Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.44
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$25.86
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$27.45
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-2.5)backed Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$11.02
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.39
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-9.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$19.7
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.24
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$23.15
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-8.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$29.31
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.42
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.04
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$32.64
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$32.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.17
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$12.68
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+130.3%+$31.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$21.16
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.29
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.29
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$54.02
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$101.61
Jets vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$136.73
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.78
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$49.83
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$26.93
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$25.39
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.62
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$13.64
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Flames vs. Islandersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Rangers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
Ducks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.53
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.73
All 14 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+81.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.79
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.97
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.68
Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$41.57
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$14.89
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.77
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$34.15
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Andre Fili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Marwan Rahiki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.86
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bruno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.04
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Elijah Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42%+$9.43
UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Bolaji Oki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Manoel Sousa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$23.07
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Brad Tavares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hecher Sosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$14.23
UFC Fight Night: Sam Hughes vs. Piera Rodriguez (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Piera Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.61
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.52
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.53
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$43.23
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.66
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$15.56
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$63.87
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.86
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Sevilla FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.71
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.