NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb98ce5129aa8238499ca04f9ad7421df33b1d51d78effdaffb40c295c1907301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $815,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $815,537 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 49c | 480,103$235,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244,873.27 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 51c | 206,959$105,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,548.88 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 51c | 98,941$50,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,459.66 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 43,067$21,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,971.13 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 30,828$15,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,942.47 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 30,090$16,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,495 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 21,398$10,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,915.11 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves | 51c | 15,686$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Timberwolves | 59c | 9,769$5,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,763.48 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 8,423$4,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,311.03 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 8,304$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,317.87 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 53c | 7,195$3,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.61 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Timberwolves | 60c | 6,666$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.49 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 51c | 5,821$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.83 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Timberwolves | 58c | 5,678$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268.65 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 46c | 5,168$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.56 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e33…179dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff2…0a2bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 4,957$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 4,664$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.73 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Thunder | 49c | 4,093$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.62 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88c…a688backed Thunder | 47c | 3,999$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…33e8backed Thunder | 47c | 3,788$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 49c | 3,706$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.49 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Thunder | 48c | 3,518$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.05 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…57b8backed Thunder | 47c | 3,247$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf3…1084backed Thunder | 47c | 3,188$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Thunder | 46c | 3,000$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.99 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Thunder | 45c | 2,987$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.4 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…93a5backed Thunder | 47c | 2,955$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,744$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.28 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…ce81backed Thunder | 47c | 2,710$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,702$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.01 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…566ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,608$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…e1b8backed Thunder | 47c | 2,545$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…34bfbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,533$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8259…8233backed Thunder | 47c | 2,526$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Timberwolves | 58c | 2,525$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.5 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50d…8a7abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,525$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…142dbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,515$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…e774backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,515$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…2150backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,501$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…ea07backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,480$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…9bdebacked Thunder | 47c | 2,466$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98d…d553backed Thunder | 47c | 2,455$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…26b2backed Thunder | 47c | 2,452$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…c8c0backed Thunder | 47c | 2,452$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,447$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.72 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba29…a0f3backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,423$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…53dfbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,414$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…b5d2backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,407$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa91…7353backed Thunder | 47c | 2,396$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0e…c9cdbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,381$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd870…bec9backed Thunder | 47c | 2,365$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc79e…03a7backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,343$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…3ff0backed Thunder | 47c | 2,340$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4f…552ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,323$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…3bf6backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,323$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…943dbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,322$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafcc…0b87backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,313$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645c…8bbbbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,275$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d17…b7a3backed Thunder | 48c | 2,259$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…96acbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,258$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…c939backed Thunder | 47c | 2,254$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec6…f343backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,252$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…ad22backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,250$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…f343backed Thunder | 47c | 2,241$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…b5ccbacked Thunder | 48c | 2,238$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2082…bee6backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,230$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2b…9ad4backed Thunder | 47c | 2,225$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…236cbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x947f…ff1cbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,215$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a6…d98cbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,215$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…dc50backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,206$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d0…bc41backed Thunder | 47c | 2,204$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dc…29afbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,203$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…1c01backed Thunder | 47c | 2,182$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce30…84b9backed Thunder | 47c | 2,178$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8c…970abacked Thunder | 47c | 2,164$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…26ebbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,163$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…4878backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,156$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…19aabacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,155$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ec…2268backed Thunder | 47c | 2,153$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebf…cfbabacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,150$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…7c6bbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,137$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb8…82c7backed Thunder | 47c | 2,131$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219b…8f31backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,131$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c32…639abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,123$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…5a9dbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,121$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…c63cbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,121$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ee…15e4backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,121$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93c…116abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,082$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,076$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1495…67fdbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,069$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…fee9backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,065$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…9f09backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,058$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…0758backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,056$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…bcefbacked Thunder | 48c | 2,056$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…cf6abacked Thunder | 47c | 2,036$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Timberwolves vs. ThunderThunder won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.