TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,679 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa965…3565backed No52c626.62$327 inWon+$299.421,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d3…a266backed Yes47c618.46$290 inLost-$290.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No55c385.85$210 inWon+$175.424,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd63d…8c40backed Yes45c264.86$120 inLost-$12013762.8%86 W · 51 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc984…195ebacked Yes38c260.59$100 inLost-$1004850%24 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Yes51c218.58$112 inLost-$111.644560%27 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No61c186.12$113 inWon+$73.0990863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No59c185.54$110 inWon+$75.5497049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Yes40c176.73$71 inLost-$70.699352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No64c119.98$77 inWon+$42.5995260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa55d…001ebacked Yes45c112.33$50 inLost-$504837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No49c109$53 inWon+$55.5925840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No60c85$51 inWon+$3427074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4066…e3c3backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost-$309031.1%28 W · 62 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No60c81.21$49 inWon+$32.491,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82a2…a875backed Yes36c81.04$29 inLost-$28.841346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a46…69c4backed Yes43c78.91$34 inLost-$344139%16 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+54.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Yes46c54.73$25 inLost-$2522442.9%96 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No61c54.1$33 inWon+$21.250648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No55c53.75$29 inWon+$24.31,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8a…5214backed Yes44c45.31$20 inLost-$205846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No56c40$22 inWon+$17.690357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No60c36.16$22 inWon+$14.4692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No56c30$17 inWon+$13.21,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe7…4dbfbacked Yes43c25.36$11 inLost-$10.882161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed No61c20$12 inWon+$7.830256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed No65c19.51$13 inWon+$6.839267.4%62 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.