TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,577 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c42,715$21,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,443.261,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c21,910$10,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,993.21,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under50c19,693$9,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,846.7324744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under45c6,602$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,602.319741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under48c6,383$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,332.196756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c5,212$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.21,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c5,151$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c5,005$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over54c5,004$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.9538251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c4,519$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4271…8ddabacked Under51c3,045$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd71…14aebacked Over49c2,968$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13ea…ca65backed Over49c2,942$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa09d…1bc8backed Under51c2,895$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e4…6d1dbacked Under51c2,853$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba5…026abacked Over49c2,829$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9738…114abacked Under51c2,728$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe66e…abddbacked Under49c2,721$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.944035%14 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f03…2eb3backed Over49c2,677$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2a…426cbacked Over49c2,664$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ab…0dedbacked Over49c2,655$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe833…1efcbacked Under51c2,640$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ca…f4ecbacked Under51c2,574$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under49c2,500$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…f771backed Over50c2,499$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab08…42dcbacked Under51c2,450$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0856…3412backed Under51c2,366$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d17…b7a3backed Over49c2,355$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf624…705abacked Over49c2,351$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedd8…35ccbacked Over50c2,336$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeb9…4fc4backed Under51c2,320$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…779fbacked Over49c2,312$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9925…6f5ebacked Over49c2,300$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5068…b5d2backed Over49c2,266$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a8c…970abacked Under51c2,236$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71f5…cb68backed Over49c2,214$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…b5ccbacked Under51c2,202$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8f8…1c01backed Under51c2,200$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7416…60d5backed Over49c2,185$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbb…80c0backed Over49c2,176$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dfd…bcefbacked Over49c2,155$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b90…9199backed Over49c2,133$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5abf…a98cbacked Under51c2,133$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3145…96acbacked Under51c2,122$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8384…98c6backed Under50c2,100$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce1…1b1bbacked Under51c2,100$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8807…c1e8backed Under51c2,088$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1da2…4efcbacked Under51c2,076$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb33…cffebacked Under50c2,058$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a96…988dbacked Under51c2,056$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7519…6d23backed Over49c2,033$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bd7…d00dbacked Over49c2,018$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1efd…a232backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c1,970$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf86e…cc90backed Under50c1,969$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93c…116abacked Under51c1,956$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x213a…fd53backed Under51c1,956$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5490…2a15backed Over49c1,940$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa949…9f09backed Over49c1,934$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Under46c1,913$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.046657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c7a…1869backed Under51c1,902$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf911…1b5bbacked Over50c1,899$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae4…8468backed Over49c1,899$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf24f…cbdfbacked Over49c1,899$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x111f…0726backed Over49c1,875$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef4…3817backed Over50c1,866$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e20…fa65backed Over49c1,855$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1e…e6b0backed Under51c1,855$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1440…d8cabacked Under51c1,832$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc290…32a3backed Under51c1,801$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x124a…9863backed Under51c1,800$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bb1…0837backed Under51c1,790$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x838f…794fbacked Over50c1,788$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d1…6d0cbacked Over49c1,778$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa50a…d8b5backed Over49c1,766$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b2…a945backed Under50c1,766$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x130f…dffcbacked Under51c1,740$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ac3…71c4backed Under51c1,730$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00e2…1ad3backed Under51c1,723$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9052…b03dbacked Under51c1,723$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fbc…792fbacked Under51c1,702$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over50c1,680$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a75…b662backed Over49c1,679$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28f3…f65bbacked Under51c1,675$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d6…9659backed Under51c1,631$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe55d…855fbacked Over49c1,602$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x632f…7d35backed Over49c1,601$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over52c1,600$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.8426544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fb0…1c66backed Over49c1,523$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54bd…3aa0backed Over49c1,520$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa448…a67dbacked Under51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62b5…7b3abacked Under50c1,499$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…2a42backed Over51c1,470$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd330…83ddbacked Under51c1,459$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Over50c1,408$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0534…96aebacked Over49c1,345$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38e7…3c39backed Over49c1,271$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8041…14b0backed Under51c1,228$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.