TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$325,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,327 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c8,131$4,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over52c5,910$3,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06449246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54dd…3189backed Over50c4,622$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,31120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc1b…526ebacked Over50c4,611$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7d…13ccbacked Over51c4,513$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.6320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0820…08febacked Over51c4,511$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83f…75f8backed Over50c4,414$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c7…76ffbacked Over51c4,313$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac6d…9ed0backed Over51c4,255$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3919…a7dfbacked Over52c4,255$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67c…cb8dbacked Over50c4,223$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…159cbacked Over52c4,214$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd61d…e29fbacked Over52c4,205$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f98…582bbacked Over50c4,202$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x278a…2245backed Over52c4,201$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fd2…7285backed Over50c4,097$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48de…f3ddbacked Over50c4,051$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e58…91c3backed Over50c4,001$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a48…558bbacked Over52c3,899$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8797…9ab7backed Over51c3,851$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23dc…7520backed Over52c3,811$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c9…ca1cbacked Over52c3,711$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d04…b59cbacked Under50c3,707$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53af…2bf7backed Over52c3,563$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe25b…757bbacked Over52c3,455$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8c…d561backed Over52c3,355$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x111c…ef9dbacked Over50c3,211$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under60c3,163$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.63,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9efc…4d2ebacked Over52c3,155$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba79…cb66backed Over50c3,088$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under50c3,029$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.0424744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe166…7010backed Under49c3,010$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86cb…c5ebbacked Over52c2,984$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29e7…9bc5backed Under48c2,957$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13d7…9610backed Under50c2,953$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228e…d22abacked Under50c2,915$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae72…cc85backed Over52c2,913$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d70…0516backed Under48c2,885$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5a…fdb5backed Under50c2,876$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed93…5ffbbacked Over50c2,862$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e4c…5b92backed Under48c2,836$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa955…db2bbacked Over52c2,818$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf08a…d0a7backed Under50c2,814$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ed…f0e3backed Over50c2,808$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb494…b0a5backed Over51c2,801$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ac…da8bbacked Over52c2,798$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9623…2447backed Under48c2,776$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb8f…2509backed Over52c2,773$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf47e…7a60backed Over50c2,735$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x150e…e40fbacked Under48c2,709$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…e246backed Over51c2,704$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa3…7e45backed Under48c2,698$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1725…ce91backed Over50c2,697$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6a9…622abacked Under48c2,686$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bad…020cbacked Over52c2,682$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd1d…8946backed Over50c2,645$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e52…6bb0backed Over50c2,643$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32fe…bd0bbacked Under48c2,621$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02db…2314backed Over50c2,606$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c32…639abacked Over50c2,566$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x144a…28b0backed Over52c2,561$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x213a…fd53backed Under49c2,537$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f0d…4b68backed Under50c2,528$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8d…4878backed Under50c2,522$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb27…78e4backed Under50c2,515$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x247c…9275backed Under50c2,502$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b3…a246backed Over50c2,491$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31c…bbd8backed Under48c2,478$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ea…c913backed Over50c2,477$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8af…1572backed Over50c2,466$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1495…67fdbacked Under50c2,466$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f1…142dbacked Under48c2,466$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe218…5bdfbacked Over50c2,456$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7af0…fd87backed Over52c2,455$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc4…9bdebacked Under48c2,415$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc98d…d553backed Under50c2,404$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…c964backed Under50c2,403$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f45…34bfbacked Under48c2,402$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ca5…26b2backed Under50c2,401$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a8b…ad97backed Over52c2,400$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb6d…d7f6backed Over50c2,369$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73b4…6986backed Under48c2,366$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x610b…0236backed Over52c2,366$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2082…bee6backed Over50c2,366$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3846…d93fbacked Under48c2,366$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over52c2,365$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9925…6f5ebacked Over51c2,350$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd870…bec9backed Under50c2,334$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc046…ba92backed Under49c2,312$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.124100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91c9…cdefbacked Under50c2,303$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd316…c8c0backed Under50c2,288$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d3…5e3fbacked Over52c2,288$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7052…7c6bbacked Under48c2,266$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…779fbacked Under49c2,266$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…cb68backed Over51c2,260$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c6…942bbacked Over50c2,255$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb63…12babacked Under49c2,244$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53cb…236cbacked Under48c2,236$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x025a…264dbacked Over52c2,233$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939e…32e7backed Under48c2,233$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.