TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$686,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $686,887 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd64…7445backed Over56c157,128$87,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,991.653366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f0f…9e41backed Under44c25,005$11,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,002.84100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8f6…02f6backed Under44c22,734$10,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,731.044100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb595…7237backed Under44c21,641$9,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,118.964100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe26…a8b1backed Under44c21,443$9,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,008.084100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x365f…a337backed Under44c21,148$9,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,842.885100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa062…56afbacked Under44c19,123$8,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,708.885100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x760e…7617backed Over56c18,711$10,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,478.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b35…3d05backed Under44c18,586$8,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,408.165100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e4a…659cbacked Over56c18,292$10,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,243.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab73…3763backed Over56c18,013$10,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,087.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…40e5backed Over56c17,903$10,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,025.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x546d…5ca3backed Over56c17,207$9,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,635.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5496…dd84backed Over56c16,545$9,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,265.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+63.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3180…b045backed Over56c16,479$9,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,228.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa15a…5ae2backed Over56c16,406$9,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,187.36475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c6a…6925backed Over56c15,968$8,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,942.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc424…b66bbacked Over56c15,888$8,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,897.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94d…1531backed Over56c15,748$8,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,818.88650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bd…52f5backed Over56c15,589$8,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,729.841060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a4d…e4edbacked Under44c15,496$6,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,677.76580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+65.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e45…9844backed Over56c15,441$8,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,646.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x906d…ce17backed Over56c15,311$8,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,574.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x427f…4509backed Over56c14,537$8,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,140.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+66.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f14…6ee3backed Over56c14,310$8,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,013.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb180…7285backed Over56c14,264$7,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,987.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47ab…415bbacked Over56c14,007$7,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,843.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff9c…42f2backed Under44c13,877$6,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,771.125100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa3f…204ebacked Over56c13,610$7,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,621.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x129c…fe5bbacked Under44c13,548$5,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,586.88683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+68.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88b7…b871backed Over56c12,979$7,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,268.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c3…e53ebacked Over56c12,218$6,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,842.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x083f…af76backed Over56c11,925$6,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,678560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30b1…a912backed Over56c11,155$6,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,246.8650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb57…8da6backed Over56c10,756$6,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,023.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d80…8a9bbacked Over56c10,446$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,849.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf01…e665backed Over56c9,709$5,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,437.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd8…4b1cbacked Under44c9,563$4,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,355.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+60.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6eb2…e679backed Under44c9,243$4,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,176.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf14…b76bbacked Over56c9,063$5,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,075.281060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x820e…a436backed Over56c8,842$4,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,951.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd063…7b51backed Under44c8,768$3,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,910.08966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x342f…dbc0backed Over56c8,414$4,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,711.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b53…ce60backed Over56c8,316$4,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,656.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa8…ee2ebacked Over56c8,111$4,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,542.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x541f…af2ebacked Over56c7,521$4,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,211.76650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f76…752bbacked Over56c7,146$4,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,001.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf727…d276backed Over56c7,072$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,960.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be2…9e23backed Over56c6,950$3,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,892560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb3…157bbacked Over56c6,840$3,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,830.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9334…7eeabacked Under44c6,707$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,755.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+66.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9261…a2c4backed Over56c6,105$3,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,418.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b3…18e7backed Under44c6,078$2,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,403.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd109…9d07backed Under44c5,979$2,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,348.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51dc…b43ebacked Over56c5,829$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,264.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb239…7a9ebacked Over56c5,778$3,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,235.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd25…42d5backed Under44c5,679$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,180.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbae…f454backed Under44c5,402$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,025.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x557a…bff9backed Under44c5,364$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,003.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xccff…da57backed Over56c5,300$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445a…aa83backed Under44c5,161$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,890.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3db3…72f3backed Under44c5,150$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8842100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x504b…6061backed Under44c5,114$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43c…7e06backed Over56c5,089$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338e…027dbacked Under44c5,064$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7771…b8c3backed Under44c4,998$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,798.885100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac0b…d4c4backed Under44c4,962$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,778.725100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x772b…d647backed Under44c4,950$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,772757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4422…b60fbacked Over56c4,911$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e63…5713backed Over56c4,900$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,744560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8464…2208backed Under44c4,886$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c09…a631backed Under44c4,875$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,730366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf210…b75bbacked Under44c4,836$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.166100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x135b…dcafbacked Under44c4,796$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,685.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d42…ce25backed Under44c4,782$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,677.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad44…5e25backed Under44c4,745$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,657.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+64.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x142f…ed0bbacked Under44c4,731$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f68…7995backed Under44c4,664$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.84875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e4f…4c77backed Under44c4,609$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26a8…0c47backed Under44c4,466$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b49…879ebacked Over56c4,329$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,424.24650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8086…d294backed Under44c4,141$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93d9…d718backed Under44c3,823$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b7…0735backed Under44c3,805$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff35…34e6backed Under44c3,668$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b2…1a5cbacked Under44c3,611$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35dd…de6bbacked Under44c3,586$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+66.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9201…17a7backed Under44c3,554$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf502…436bbacked Under44c3,507$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae45…6daabacked Under44c3,498$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+72.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x326f…6f64backed Under44c3,412$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52c8…ad88backed Over56c3,377$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c6…1148backed Under44c3,352$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0958…1cdabacked Under44c3,334$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…ecfebacked Under44c3,209$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+60.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fe0…8b36backed Under44c3,185$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+75.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8662…3233backed Under44c3,116$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+65.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80bd…ff6abacked Under44c3,066$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ec…818abacked Under44c3,059$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.046100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3acf…2921backed Under44c2,989$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.