TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,736 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked No56c1,148$647 inLost-$647.261,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Yes45c935$424 inWon+$5118342.2%35 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x063a…7d01backed Yes41c682.76$280 inWon+$402.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x159a…d8dbbacked Yes39c661.96$261 inWon+$400.771346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick27cpaid+45.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No55c495.29$272 inLost-$272.1590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No59c203.34$120 inLost-$12097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7473…89eebacked Yes43c182.25$78 inWon+$104.484151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No33c143.33$48 inLost-$47.7525840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No60c120$72 inLost-$71.595260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No60c113.78$68 inLost-$68.2792058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No54c106.6$57 inLost-$57.4350648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No58c93.63$54 inLost-$53.9183158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No60c85$51 inLost-$5127074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8087…6d7abacked Yes50c80$40 inWon+$404337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4066…e3c3backed Yes50c70.3$35 inWon+$35.39031.1%28 W · 62 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cac…a026backed Yes40c70$28 inWon+$42450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No58c61.38$36 inLost-$35.664,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5b…b58bbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inWon+$31.287640.8%31 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf300…f01cbacked Yes40c50.05$20 inWon+$30.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+81.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6132…2e70backed No62c48.65$30 inLost-$301764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked No55c37.21$20 inLost-$20.4946255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No66c30$20 inLost-$19.860267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No57c30$17 inLost-$17.11,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca14…48d0backed No60c27.42$16 inLost-$16.45728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No58c26.12$15 inLost-$15.1389853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked No60c20$12 inLost-$1212949.6%64 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed No61c20$12 inLost-$12.230256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.