TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6132…2e70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.84
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-1.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.22
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-10.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.79
Spread: California Golden Bears (-6.5)backed UIC Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.63
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.49
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.89
Spread: Dayton Flyers (-1.5)backed Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.27
Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-3.5)backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.63
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.56
Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.79
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.95
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancers: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$20.07
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-5.5)backed Cal State Fullerton Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Seton Hall Pirates vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$15.3
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$16.4
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.07
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.15
Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$6.19
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.73
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.33
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$18.64
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+162%+$48.59
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$17.39
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.27
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.48
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+41.7%+$16.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$20.32
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+59.1%+$15.38
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3)backed Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+61.8%+$24.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$49.76
Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$17.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$72
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+106.2%+$53.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$6.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jara win by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$18.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.