MLB · resolved market
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuela
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3181f4e1705ecb95780fc5b2acd52db926312afcb8be1309bd9e798ed0ec31f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Venezuelaof Italy, Venezuela
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $781,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781,695 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Italy | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Italy | 34c | 118,980$41,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,002.57 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Venezuela | 63c | 61,536$38,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,768.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Italy | 37c | 50,188$18,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,645.93 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7754…9709backed Venezuela | 66c | 45,559$29,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,594.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Italy | 36c | 42,597$15,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,334.9 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Venezuela | 78c | 31,944$24,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,117.58 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Italy | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Italy | 36c | 24,120$8,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,683.14 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Italy | 44c | 18,827$8,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,288.13 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Italy | 47c | 18,803$8,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,761.96 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Venezuela | 66c | 17,207$11,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,920.17 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Venezuela | 63c | 15,958$10,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,904.6 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Venezuela | 64c | 13,364$8,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.75 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Venezuela | 65c | 10,500$6,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Venezuela | 63c | 10,448$6,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Italy | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed Italy | 1c | 9,958$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Venezuela | 80c | 9,694$7,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.25 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…58b4backed Italy | 39c | 9,245$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Italy | 35c | 8,094$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.82 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Venezuela | 60c | 7,753$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.25 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…e96dbacked Italy | 0c | 7,206$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Venezuela | 63c | 7,058$4,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34b…6118backed Venezuela | 46c | 6,500$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Venezuela | 63c | 6,209$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.19 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Italy | 37c | 5,757$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.06 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Venezuela | 43c | 4,983$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.52 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…1d20backed Venezuela | 64c | 4,400$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e9…df05backed Italy | 37c | 4,054$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Venezuela | 64c | 3,906$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.25 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…bae5backed Italy | 17c | 3,811$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…86f8backed Venezuela | 64c | 3,714$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7573…8ceabacked Venezuela | 64c | 3,200$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Venezuela | 64c | 3,085$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Italy | 35c | 3,000$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Italy | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.98 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…1db7backed Venezuela | 64c | 2,900$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Italy | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Venezuela | 61c | 2,688$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.09 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Venezuela | 72c | 2,662$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Venezuela | 62c | 2,642$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Italy | 57c | 2,616$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.53 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Italy | 54c | 2,572$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.88 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Venezuela | 64c | 2,451$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.36 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Venezuela | 65c | 2,353$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Italy | 37c | 2,333$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.21 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c5…01dfbacked Italy | 36c | 2,190$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…382dbacked Venezuela | 64c | 2,137$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Venezuela | 62c | 2,014$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.46 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Italy | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Italy | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…d9d2backed Venezuela | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…2de3backed Venezuela | 61c | 1,961$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Venezuela | 55c | 1,921$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.43 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Venezuela | 63c | 1,818$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.01 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a3…8665backed Venezuela | 60c | 1,789$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Italy | 48c | 1,685$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.09 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…3140backed Venezuela | 64c | 1,669$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Venezuela | 77c | 1,627$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.12 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Venezuela | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Venezuela | 57c | 1,486$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.45 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…fd72backed Italy | 14c | 1,465$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca4…51cebacked Venezuela | 64c | 1,439$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.92 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…29ddbacked Venezuela | 65c | 1,391$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Venezuela | 80c | 1,384$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.67 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Venezuela | 44c | 1,356$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Italy | 37c | 1,350$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Italy | 50c | 1,349$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.57 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Venezuela | 60c | 1,340$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.37 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Italy | 36c | 1,325$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Venezuela | 64c | 1,317$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.6 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Venezuela | 58c | 1,298$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.78 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Venezuela | 44c | 1,276$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.64 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…72a9backed Venezuela | 63c | 1,250$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Italy | 36c | 1,247$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.79 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Venezuela | 48c | 1,210$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.69 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Italy | 35c | 1,208$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.26 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Italy | 36c | 1,200$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.98 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Venezuela | 72c | 1,195$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.24 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Italy | 67c | 1,172$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.87 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a03…5f4dbacked Italy | 33c | 1,139$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Italy | 39c | 1,111$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.84 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Venezuela | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…2a8fbacked Italy | 37c | 1,078$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Italy | 38c | 1,064$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.84 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…8413backed Italy | 2c | 1,053$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Venezuela | 76c | 1,035$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Venezuela | 77c | 1,004$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.66 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f0…1438backed Italy | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Venezuela | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Italy | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Venezuela | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Italy | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Italy | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Venezuela | 72c | 993$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.44 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b9…521fbacked Venezuela | 64c | 992.66$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Venezuela | 52c | 969.74$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.42 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…66d3backed Italy | 55c | 947.8$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Venezuela | 64c | 938.93$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.