TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37a4…72a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Cricket at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$650.83
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.55
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$200.1
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$27.12
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$107.2
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.33
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$694.5
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$245.84
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$771.94
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$538.85
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$858.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.77
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,022
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$385.7
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+138.1%+$415.86
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+43.3%+$21.47
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$146.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$15.05
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$169.07
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+28.2%+$18.7
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$22.42
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$83.93
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$387.24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,496Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,039.35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$580
Santos: Guido Justo vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguezbacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.44
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$55.59
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marcos Giron vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$402.99
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignonbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$687.27
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$780
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$840
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$159
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+75.4%+$705.2
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+31.6%+$67.2
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+49.3%+$50.48
All 6 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$431.99
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,901Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$979.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+76.6%+$787.04
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$101.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mason Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$829Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$600.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$462.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.