Tennis · resolved market
Santos: Guido Justo vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60ceb8976de4b75c5197501ca2bfe92cec6c8c084b4c673ae133f0ef4534c222
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguezof Guido Justo, Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Guido Justo | 2c | 3,476$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Guido Justo | 26c | 2,420$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.15 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 72c | 2,222$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.46 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guido Justo | 35c | 1,744$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Guido Justo | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 55c | 1,158$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.92 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 35c | 547.37$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.74 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Guido Justo | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Guido Justo | 66c | 457.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 184 | 62%114 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…39eebacked Guido Justo | 52c | 362.54$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.52 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Guido Justo | 32c | 307.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 71c | 277.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Guido Justo | 54c | 258.02$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.33 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 60c | 236.37$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 70c | 235.67$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 35c | 224$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Guido Justo | 45c | 221.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Guido Justo | 8c | 193.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Guido Justo | 44c | 150.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…72a9backed Guido Justo | 64c | 145.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 36c | 139.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Guido Justo | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 41c | 115.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Guido Justo | 18c | 102.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 74c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 62c | 77.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 36c | 72.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 48c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 48c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 47c | 63.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 55c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Guido Justo | 37c | 51.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Guido Justo | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 49c | 49.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 59c | 49.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Guido Justo | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 54c | 41.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 56c | 41.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 38c | 39.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Guido Justo | 36c | 35.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Guido Justo | 29c | 35.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Guido Justo | 36c | 34.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 34c | 31.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Guido Justo | 42c | 27.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Guido Justo | 41c | 25.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Guido Justo | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 73c | 19.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Guido Justo | 64c | 19.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…0a56backed Guido Justo | 64c | 17.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…31e5backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 71c | 15.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.