TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof B8, Vitality
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$239,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$288,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,204 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed B823c48,070$11,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,059.759942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed Vitality77c17,532$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,032.471154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed B822c15,339$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.6230340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked B824c12,062$2,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.461323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked B822c11,920$2,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,622.4983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Vitality77c8,697$6,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01424846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Vitality77c7,450$5,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.4917148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed B815c7,229$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.914,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vitality78c5,724$4,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.211,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Vitality77c5,428$4,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.4210252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Vitality76c5,250$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.399234.8%32 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked B824c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20014934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Vitality76c4,408$3,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.3210549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed B824c4,245$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed B823c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.991,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Vitality77c3,748$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.056956.5%39 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Vitality77c3,510$2,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.311353.1%60 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked Vitality78c3,491$2,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.029854.1%53 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Vitality77c3,222$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.151656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Vitality78c3,204$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.71,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed B822c3,182$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Vitality77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Vitality78c2,860$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.24763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef92…9df5backed Vitality77c2,826$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.972972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked B821c2,800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed B823c2,678$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.515736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x546a…36fdbacked Vitality77c2,420$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.64047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed B828c2,254$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.1282143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked B821c2,091$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.1310442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Vitality76c2,074$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.6832930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed B823c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed B823c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46024139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b4…f80bbacked B813c1,829$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Vitality76c1,722$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.3746343.2%200 W · 263 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Vitality76c1,632$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.646659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked B84c1,622$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.793,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e8…fbe3backed B823c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Vitality77c1,405$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.234147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Vitality77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.74344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdf1…c324backed Vitality78c1,284$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.473056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed Vitality78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.052944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Vitality77c1,200$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27622056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Vitality76c1,088$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.067955.7%44 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa5…46d6backed Vitality77c1,053$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.133847.4%18 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed B824c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24046545.6%212 W · 253 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked B823c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Vitality77c999.99$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23028351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Vitality77c999$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.779260.9%56 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x763d…d0f2backed B812c989.92$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.692123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Vitality78c957$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5429855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed B821c951.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9115641%64 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Vitality78c935$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.72650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked B823c908.7$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20927530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed B823c869.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.894221.4%9 W · 33 L-10.0wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x187b…acdcbacked Vitality77c785.27$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.612240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f9…0732backed B823c784.83$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.514153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality77c777$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.711,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Vitality79c706.61$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3915255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed B814c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989337.6%35 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Vitality72c700$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19658651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed B815c649.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.56741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0186…1e2cbacked B85c649.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.95378.1%3 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-67.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb615…5baebacked Vitality77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.355261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Vitality77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3526045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Vitality73c600$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1605431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed B822c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13297230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd08c…5494backed Vitality77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff59…afeabacked Vitality77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed B86c549.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358441.7%35 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed B825c547.37$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.489442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked B813c545$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.171,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Vitality77c531.93$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6626461%161 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Vitality78c511.85$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6110450%52 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ca1…8becbacked B84c511.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-79.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed Vitality77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1152040%8 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed B87c500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339048.9%44 W · 46 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed B823c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed B825c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12534235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed B823c495$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8516450.6%83 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b33…9b98backed B822c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked B824c448.72$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6913460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30df…18d7backed Vitality79c443.04$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.041283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Vitality78c443$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.464163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Vitality78c440$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.811654.3%63 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Vitality76c436.96$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0521455.6%119 W · 95 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6857…9f77backed B821c428.57$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903414.7%5 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5363…1987backed B823c426.26$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.041520%3 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Vitality77c417.63$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6334146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4d…1acebacked B824c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfced…6116backed B824c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011040.9%45 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Vitality76c412.13$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.914355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Vitality77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9242341.8%177 W · 246 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cfd…a801backed B817c400$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fcc…25e1backed Vitality76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.746764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed B820c390.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed Vitality78c389$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5822560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf808…6e99backed B85c387.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3810956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa26d…f990backed B818c367.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Vitality78c360.26$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2626563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.