Wallet 0x336a…1915
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x336a19edb925a959bbd7e301a26fc43e12241915
Rebuilt .
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked . We read the wallets we follow in rotation; the one we have gone longest without asking about was asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 4
- What they are worth now
- $261
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 34
bought for $267
worth $0
Its 4 running positions
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Partizan Beograd vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over | 194.04shares | 47c | 45c | $86 |
| Will Austria Lustenau win on 2026-08-28?backed No | 129.49shares | 59c | 58c | $75 |
| Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 108.33shares | 48c | 48c | $51 |
| AFC Ajax vs. FC Sion: O/U 2.5backed Under | 153.45shares | 31c | 32c | $48 |
Paid is Polymarket’s own average price over what the wallet still holds — it is not the entry price TailMyPicks derives for a scored pick, which is the volume-weighted average of the buys on the side it picked. Now is what the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last catalogue refresh. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not resolved and there is nothing yet to be right about.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 34. These are markets that have already resolved: the money is sitting there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open convictions, which is why they are not in the figures above.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0x04e7…4945backed outcome 0 | 964.29shares | 14c | $0 | Not ingested |
| Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · resolved | 631.67shares | 62c | $0 | Counted |
| Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · resolved | 417.8shares | 50c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0x1dcf…6321backed outcome 0 | 244.88shares | 48c | $0 | Not ingested |
| Market 0x7174…c0d6backed outcome 1 | 215.05shares | 93c | $0 | Not ingested |
Do these count towards the record above? 2 do — the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table below. 3 are not in the published record at all — TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either it has yet to be ingested, or nothing anybody held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record below never add up. What this wallet is holding on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks has scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways — the record covers markets that have already resolved and been graded, these figures cover money that is still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
Summary
- Qualified picks
- 439
- Categories scored
- 26
- Categories below 50
- 13
Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).
Best Category Europa Conference League at 59 out of 100; worst College Football at 43.
What is a Tail Score?
A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.
The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.
The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.
Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.
Record by Category
Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.
| Category | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fifa International — the 87 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CS2 — the 42 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tennis — the 41 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
NBA — the 39 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
NHL — the 35 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ncaa Basketball — the 28 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Lol — the 27 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Europa Conference League — the 22 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
F1 — the 14 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cricket — the 12 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
College Football — the 9 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.
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| WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.
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| La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +95%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.
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| UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
UFC — the 6 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.
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| NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
NFL — the 6 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.
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| Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.
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| Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.
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| Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.
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| Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.
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| Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.
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| Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +149.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.
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| MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MLB — the 3 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.
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| Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.
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| South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this rowEvery qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.
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vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.