TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30ee…a587backed Yes49c7,003$3,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.679164.8%59 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Yes43c1,789$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.522673.1%19 W · 7 L+9.1wins+0.35per pick38cpaid+117.3%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked No50c1,595$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.841442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No54c1,410$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.75757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes49c1,332$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No53c1,167$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.447545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes46c998.42$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.28560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed No54c928.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe01…ccf3backed No54c927.38$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes52c882.96$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.1610020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No50c867.67$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.8420843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed No51c800$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.79955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2375…b9c9backed No9c684.59$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1170%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes31c667.92$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.7110652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked No34c585.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003030%9 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No50c573.79$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5311266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No17c485.11$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.834332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No46c408.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.259223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x143d…fe85backed Yes49c407.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed No54c378.89$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.411836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb9…2e4cbacked No54c373.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No59c341.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8211845.8%54 W · 64 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…de6dbacked Yes46c318.48$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed No50c300.66$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.472661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed No55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked No54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No37c295.66$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.413167.7%21 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes57c294.67$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.569333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d2…7ad6backed No51c290.81$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6410065%65 W · 35 L+20.3wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+66.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No49c276.5$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.259165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7d5…0789backed Yes51c273.33$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.26850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes79c261.9$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.712955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes42c253.53$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.847950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes49c241.2$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.974136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No44c229.83$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1110837%40 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes55c227.36$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.362540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…0dabbacked Yes47c214.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+121.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes57c210.96$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.326235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa84…7fddbacked No56c199.53$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.22944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4293…bd78backed No57c192.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6d…d67bbacked Yes53c187.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x949c…ab2cbacked No56c186.58$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.963129%9 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes22c180.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.891850%9 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf689…6b6dbacked No55c180.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No58c171.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.571770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+54.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes49c165.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.112524%6 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5219…9781backed No44c160.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-67.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadca…16b0backed No55c140.32$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes65c139.49$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.574139%16 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed No53c132.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5410…8307backed Yes46c130.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.62333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af8…8973backed No78c128.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No29c125.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.110128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3783…36d2backed No61c123.16$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d7…488cbacked Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x586d…c682backed Yes42c118.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No21c111.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.796325.4%16 W · 47 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Yes45c104.44$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.444555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No60c102.85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.361618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b6…f9d9backed No70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fa…cafebacked Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f99…cc23backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Yes47c95.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No49c95.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.871822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes55c93.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.828651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a0…7513backed Yes43c90$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+116.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x291c…f1a9backed No51c83.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No49c78.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.372060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed No48c72.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.845635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x036d…7cd9backed Yes42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa220…4c66backed No62c69.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.19520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b9…cfbdbacked Yes57c68.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.21580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8205…5067backed Yes45c66.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd33c…40f1backed No53c65.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fd…3ebfbacked Yes64c62.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c6…74d4backed Yes51c60.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.95850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11c9…9befbacked No61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-67.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No53c59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.366050%30 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5737…d32ebacked No59c56.12$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Yes45c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58c…56e3backed No59c53.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.621442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes59c51.91$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.257643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7150…6a8abacked No55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9163…0cabbacked Yes46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No49c49.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.382642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x110e…5db1backed No60c49.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80a4…0ba4backed Yes21c48.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.71216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Yes48c47.32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.651747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d8b…9d9abacked Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Yes68c44.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.381442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed No35c40.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1440%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x312c…ceecbacked Yes50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…695abacked Yes53c33.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7719backed No33c33.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes39c33.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.446819.1%13 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick12cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa724…cb96backed No48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff8…7fa0backed Yes48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9239…0c62backed No64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11ea…594fbacked No38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…5521backed Yes52c29.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.