F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48dd4efe581e59153713ca7e9e9cdd1ee7d05a9ea7d108f54445ec029de5f009
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 45c | 794.07$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.11 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 20c | 771.5$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 57c | 583.25$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.25 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 30c | 520.4$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 35c | 517.2$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.02 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…e34ebacked Yes | 79c | 500$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 498.3$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 80c | 440.66$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 21c | 426.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 51c | 421.45$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.14 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…f41bbacked No | 36c | 414.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 73c | 399.93$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 58c | 376.46$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.14 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 65c | 372.65$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.62 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 35c | 338.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 17c | 319.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Yes | 28c | 291.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…7fddbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc237…0432backed Yes | 73c | 272.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Yes | 14c | 264.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No | 67c | 258.85$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 59c | 225$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 28c | 207.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce41…c2c2backed No | 22c | 179.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes | 29c | 174.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 74c | 164.41$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 25c | 157.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.07 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Yes | 76c | 131.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fc0fbacked Yes | 27c | 98.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 73c | 97.19$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…e783backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 43c | 81.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 71c | 81.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…261dbacked No | 74c | 76.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 71c | 74.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…26edbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 67c | 71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Yes | 25c | 59.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed Yes | 27c | 56.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Yes | 77c | 55.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 69c | 54.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed No | 75c | 53.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 38c | 39.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed No | 75c | 22.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7649…2106backed Yes | 71c | 18.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Arvid Lindblad finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.