F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44fe068ae1e2c60d82fc6b9c64287c0e150e812863785ada962a687e26d05b32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 43c | 3,937$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.16 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 23c | 3,452$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.37 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 46c | 1,880$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.55 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…6992backed No | 39c | 1,754$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 36c | 1,664$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.58 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 43c | 1,430$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.97 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked Yes | 52c | 1,411$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.58 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…e34ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,224$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 69c | 1,076$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 16c | 942.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 68c | 892.99$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.82 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 67c | 763.65$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.19 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed Yes | 32c | 753$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 20c | 740.49$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.34 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 70c | 713.75$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.87 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 19c | 712.88$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.46 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…0dabbacked Yes | 15c | 672.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 60c | 605.44$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.53 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…8d12backed Yes | 14c | 571.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 38cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…45acbacked Yes | 28c | 527.25$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.01 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes | 15c | 522.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.67 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 70c | 491.41$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.61 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 471.46$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.84 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 63c | 325.33$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.64 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…f41bbacked Yes | 47c | 320.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 72c | 302.8$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.39 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed No | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Yes | 32c | 243.36$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked No | 38c | 224.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 44c | 210.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…0ba4backed No | 12c | 197.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b8…0d4cbacked Yes | 17c | 178.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Yes | 37c | 177.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.14 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91bd…7ebabacked Yes | 71c | 177.09$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…7275backed No | 76c | 175.74$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2163…1f5ebacked Yes | 32c | 157.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed No | 65c | 153.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 54c | 153.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed No | 47c | 146.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce41…c2c2backed Yes | 35c | 143.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 54c | 139.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed No | 68c | 135.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 46c | 119.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 79c | 119.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa220…4c66backed No | 39c | 119.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed No | 61c | 113.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 35c | 109$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…4400backed No | 17c | 101.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 17c | 100.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…0cabbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…d43cbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1c…f271backed Yes | 24c | 97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +313.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbc…90d5backed Yes | 17c | 96.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +348.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…36d2backed No | 75c | 91.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4293…bd78backed Yes | 34c | 89.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…1f9fbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 57c | 73.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…0e21backed Yes | 29c | 68.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 19c | 59.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 49c | 58.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed No | 62c | 52.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 37c | 50.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…a41fbacked Yes | 38c | 39.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed No | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…d480backed No | 71c | 30.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d6…8727backed Yes | 38c | 29.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…0a7cbacked Yes | 50c | 27.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…66d3backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…bf32backed Yes | 49c | 24.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +174.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 76c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed No | 65c | 22.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Arvid Lindblad finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.