TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x664a…fc5fbacked No42c2,379$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.464332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes70c2,287$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.582268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes38c2,140$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.177545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes59c1,879$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x895d…c3ebbacked No40c1,879$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+81.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No37c1,709$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.6820843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes41c1,329$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.163716.2%6 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed No60c1,321$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.119164.8%59 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes9c1,250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.41425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes54c1,126$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.1510837%40 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes60c1,078$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.7311250%56 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked Yes25c976.7$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.82240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2047…de86backed Yes66c846.52$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed No40c800$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes57c768.9$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.1410020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c43…30edbacked Yes36c550$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…b22dbacked Yes55c548.85$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-73.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No41c540.77$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6111266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No38c474.38$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.519223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked Yes59c390.74$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.443956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4b1…8c9dbacked Yes15c373.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.840%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No39c351.49$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4610652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b6…f9d9backed Yes32c316.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No40c305.52$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.749165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed No70c303$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.66728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-59.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c6d…d67bbacked Yes67c279.24$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes61c240$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.47950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No35c239.54$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.521822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes38c232.39$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2310128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No44c219.55$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.676235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7d5…0789backed Yes68c201.91$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…7f00backed Yes56c177.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No39c176.07$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.91770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+54.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No47c153.37$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.579333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11c9…9befbacked Yes63c151$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-67.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed No36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No55c149.33$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7811845.8%54 W · 64 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc0…12e6backed Yes71c141.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d2…7ad6backed No67c140.86$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9210065%65 W · 35 L+20.3wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+66.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfb8f…7b12backed Yes18c136.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9d…1e4bbacked Yes56c132.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.621323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e38…85c9backed No76c130.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked No76c130.71$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes15c123.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.581618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed Yes64c115$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.845635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed Yes33c112.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1640%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes14c110.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.786325.4%16 W · 47 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No37c109.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.244136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Yes69c107.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.611442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd62…4e9abacked Yes65c107.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes39c106.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.791866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Yes66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80a4…0ba4backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x039c…0450backed Yes31c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3180%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No50c74.53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.272673.1%19 W · 7 L+9.1wins+0.35per pick38cpaid+117.3%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xb491…4400backed Yes18c74.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Yes64c70.8$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No61c62.31$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.61560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed No35c57.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1310142.6%43 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed No59c50.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4815922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…cafabacked Yes45c49.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.550%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49c6…74d4backed Yes62c49.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.55850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes66c47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.022955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae0b…0913backed Yes64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes25c46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.76050%30 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed No37c44.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.331181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes47c44.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.537643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes73c40.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…355abacked Yes49c39.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3783…36d2backed No67c36.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…832fbacked Yes61c36.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d8b…9d9abacked Yes56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes64c27.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.714139%16 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No41c27.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.123636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No38c26.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.853167.7%21 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1eca…3a06backed No72c26.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.553467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes59c23.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.038651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e59…6019backed Yes64c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf632…02aabacked No66c22.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312c…ceecbacked Yes55c21.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.791250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No55c21.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.645317%9 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d44…80d4backed No67c20.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.