TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c6d…d67b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 48 out of 100 (-0.02 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Fifa International at 48 out of 100; worst F1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$116.22
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$67.56
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.88
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$101.11
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$270.9
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$102.11
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92%+$229.96
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.29
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Serghei Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.15
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$29.52
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$13.06
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Shamil Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$63.89
Dana White's Contender Series: Roman Puga vs. Taner Trembley (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Taner Trembley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Urbina vs. Vlasto Cepo (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Vlasto Cepo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$47.95
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Milos Janicic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$333.87
UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Michael Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Nina Miloševic (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hailey Cowan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Poppeck vs. Jovan Leka (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Alexander Poppeck · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Rizvan Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Nurullo Aliev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$70.59
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Damian Rzepecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.83
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Ramazan Temirov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$240.2
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Dustin Jacoby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$119.84
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$21.53
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.