UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x457486f2da1e068ad8a76361abecb9c00fdd36aeb3339451f20d76d78c3677e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robert Valentinof Duško Todorovic, Robert Valentin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Robert Valentin | 58c | 130,284$75,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,668.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Duško Todorovic | 42c | 44,000$18,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,480 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Duško Todorovic | 42c | 35,957$15,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,101.93 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Duško Todorovic | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Duško Todorovic | 41c | 14,664$6,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,061.08 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Duško Todorovic | 41c | 13,372$5,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,482.41 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Duško Todorovic | 41c | 11,548$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Duško Todorovic | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Robert Valentin | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Robert Valentin | 68c | 9,215$6,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Robert Valentin | 59c | 9,205$5,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.33 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Duško Todorovic | 40c | 8,830$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.61 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Duško Todorovic | 28c | 7,127$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.45 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Duško Todorovic | 40c | 6,419$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.72 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Robert Valentin | 59c | 5,437$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.14 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Robert Valentin | 68c | 5,017$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.66 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Robert Valentin | 71c | 4,990$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.1 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Duško Todorovic | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Robert Valentin | 57c | 4,712$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.97 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Duško Todorovic | 29c | 4,358$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.92 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Duško Todorovic | 40c | 4,248$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.43 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Duško Todorovic | 36c | 4,138$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.73 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Robert Valentin | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Robert Valentin | 68c | 2,993$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.72 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Duško Todorovic | 42c | 2,715$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.48 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Duško Todorovic | 42c | 2,681$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.56 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Duško Todorovic | 39c | 2,600$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.96 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Duško Todorovic | 39c | 2,459$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.02 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Robert Valentin | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.02 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Robert Valentin | 59c | 2,441$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.68 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Duško Todorovic | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Robert Valentin | 74c | 2,309$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.44 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 2,211$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.73 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Duško Todorovic | 41c | 2,200$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Duško Todorovic | 32c | 2,169$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.72 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Duško Todorovic | 42c | 2,109$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Duško Todorovic | 40c | 1,921$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.47 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Duško Todorovic | 28c | 1,634$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.45 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Robert Valentin | 59c | 1,538$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.29 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Duško Todorovic | 42c | 1,300$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.47 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Robert Valentin | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.99 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked Duško Todorovic | 42c | 1,196$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Robert Valentin | 71c | 1,126$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Robert Valentin | 56c | 1,104$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.06 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Duško Todorovic | 16c | 1,095$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.83 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Robert Valentin | 59c | 1,056$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.12 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Robert Valentin | 59c | 1,046$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.9 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Duško Todorovic | 23c | 1,017$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.46 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…03efbacked Robert Valentin | 61c | 1,008$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Robert Valentin | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Duško Todorovic | 39c | 1,000$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Duško Todorovic | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba7…00efbacked Robert Valentin | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Duško Todorovic | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.94 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Robert Valentin | 60c | 999.99$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Robert Valentin | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Duško Todorovic | 10c | 921$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Duško Todorovic | 32c | 886$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.38 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…a43ebacked Robert Valentin | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Duško Todorovic | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Duško Todorovic | 40c | 749.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Robert Valentin | 67c | 660.1$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Duško Todorovic | 42c | 659.52$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Duško Todorovic | 28c | 659.36$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.08 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Robert Valentin | 68c | 657.77$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.77 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Duško Todorovic | 24c | 646.96$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.33 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Duško Todorovic | 43c | 644.29$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.04 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Robert Valentin | 60c | 640.59$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Duško Todorovic | 38c | 638.95$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Robert Valentin | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…77f5backed Robert Valentin | 69c | 600$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.36 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Robert Valentin | 75c | 600$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.77 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Duško Todorovic | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Duško Todorovic | 42c | 575.34$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.76 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…23c9backed Robert Valentin | 60c | 560$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Duško Todorovic | 36c | 529.89$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.35 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Duško Todorovic | 42c | 523.81$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Duško Todorovic | 39c | 519.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8c11backed Robert Valentin | 59c | 512.69$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.74 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Duško Todorovic | 39c | 507.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Duško Todorovic | 32c | 506.44$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Robert Valentin | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Duško Todorovic | 33c | 495.61$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.32 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Duško Todorovic | 39c | 494.22$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Duško Todorovic | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Robert Valentin | 58c | 480$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…b834backed Duško Todorovic | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Duško Todorovic | 33c | 470.21$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Duško Todorovic | 40c | 462.47$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Duško Todorovic | 32c | 453.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Duško Todorovic | 32c | 451.82$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Duško Todorovic | 33c | 448.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d1…b2d2backed Robert Valentin | 67c | 435.57$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.45 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Robert Valentin | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Robert Valentin | 61c | 400$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Duško Todorovic | 27c | 392.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Duško Todorovic | 39c | 380.55$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Robert Valentin | 74c | 378.38$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Robert Valentin win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.