TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x141a…95a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT5156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$157.52
Will Wyatt Cullen be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Carson Carels be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+65%+$251.8
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$148.47
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.1
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.04
World Championships: Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$409.58
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$476
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.92
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.37
World Championships: Hungary vs. Great Britainbacked Great Britain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.97
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.59
World Championships: Finland vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.98
World Championships: USA vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94.1
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.9
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Toronto Marliesbacked Toronto Marlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$155.99
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$217.55
Will Rick Tocchet win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
SHL: Roegle vs. Skellefteaabacked Skellefteaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$213.12
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$200.4
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.98
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$75.66
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
DEL: Eisbaeren Berlin vs. Adler Mannheimbacked Adler Mannheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Serghei Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dana White's Contender Series: Kaik Brito vs. Namo Fazil (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Kaik Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$909Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+147.5%+$1,340.85
Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Mahamed Aly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.99
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.99
Will Carol Foro win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.17
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Duško Todorovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.94
UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Mark Vologdin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Bogdan Grad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$164.28
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$105.36
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bogdan Guskov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$7,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,910.36
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+135.6%+$677.95
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$398.93
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$236
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$100.01
UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Zachary Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.72
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tom Nolan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$145.98
Will Iwo Baraniewski win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Zhang Mingyang win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.92
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jose Henrique · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$156
UFC Fight Night: Rodrigo Vera vs. Zhu Kangjie (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Rodrigo Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$371
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,309Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$330.21
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.75
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.4
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.85
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$108
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$27.25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$764.96
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.01
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$785.38
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$516.37
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+125.9%+$553.59
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$1,360.42
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.18
Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.98
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$340.65
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$200.48
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$100.25
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.85
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$902.82
Johan Manzambi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+436.9%+$817.83
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$300.2
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$153.97
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.6
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+94.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$185.03
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$200.16
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$323.98
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$102.01
Will Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.36
Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.74
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+160.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Susan Bandecchibacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mathieu van der Poel finish in the top 3 at the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.