UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd5a78aab735be4d09051ff88ea3618bd17dbd8069a48350e2f1008afe3c2f32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jose Henriqueof Ding Meng, Jose Henrique
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Ding Meng | 51c | 80,000$40,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,899.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Jose Henrique | 49c | 78,486$38,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,135.82 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Jose Henrique | 58c | 17,199$9,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,244.72 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Ding Meng | 52c | 14,982$7,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,765.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Jose Henrique | 54c | 14,426$7,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,614.15 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Jose Henrique | 48c | 12,819$6,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,665.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Jose Henrique | 48c | 11,776$5,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,123.69 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Ding Meng | 37c | 10,114$3,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783.34 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Ding Meng | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Jose Henrique | 49c | 8,130$3,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Jose Henrique | 47c | 7,690$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,075.67 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Ding Meng | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.98 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Ding Meng | 52c | 6,785$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.24 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Jose Henrique | 48c | 6,363$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.57 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ding Meng | 51c | 6,318$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.78 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Jose Henrique | 47c | 5,337$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.98 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Jose Henrique | 48c | 5,138$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.46 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Jose Henrique | 48c | 5,138$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Jose Henrique | 49c | 4,512$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.9 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Ding Meng | 45c | 4,153$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jose Henrique | 64c | 4,039$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.92 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Jose Henrique | 63c | 3,614$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.17 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ding Meng | 51c | 3,603$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.03 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Ding Meng | 53c | 3,601$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Ding Meng | 52c | 3,462$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Ding Meng | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Ding Meng | 50c | 3,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.97 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…2bb6backed Ding Meng | 51c | 2,990$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Jose Henrique | 45c | 2,748$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.03 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ding Meng | 51c | 2,416$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.94 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Ding Meng | 48c | 2,404$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.11 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Ding Meng | 36c | 2,265$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.01 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Ding Meng | 53c | 1,771$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.59 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Ding Meng | 40c | 1,766$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Ding Meng | 37c | 1,628$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.94 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Jose Henrique | 49c | 1,314$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.29 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Ding Meng | 66c | 1,233$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Jose Henrique | 48c | 1,183$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.94 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3b…b628backed Ding Meng | 44c | 1,159$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jose Henrique | 56c | 1,112$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.81 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Jose Henrique | 73c | 1,102$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.91 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Ding Meng | 49c | 1,088$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.23 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Ding Meng | 53c | 1,044$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.94 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Ding Meng | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Ding Meng | 59c | 1,032$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.69 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Jose Henrique | 46c | 1,028$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.75 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…dc81backed Ding Meng | 52c | 1,002$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Ding Meng | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Jose Henrique | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Ding Meng | 58c | 976.12$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…ea7fbacked Ding Meng | 51c | 941.82$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…0933backed Jose Henrique | 45c | 931.28$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Jose Henrique | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Ding Meng | 52c | 891.59$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.63 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Jose Henrique | 47c | 822.94$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Ding Meng | 52c | 749.99$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.99 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Ding Meng | 53c | 743.24$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.25 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jose Henrique | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Ding Meng | 39c | 726.79$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.82 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jose Henrique | 65c | 719.41$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.95 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Jose Henrique | 48c | 704.5$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.34 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Ding Meng | 47c | 654.48$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jose Henrique | 55c | 601.02$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.21 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Jose Henrique | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Ding Meng | 53c | 599.42$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.69 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Ding Meng | 53c | 583.83$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Jose Henrique | 46c | 548.06$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.74 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Ding Meng | 53c | 543.4$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Ding Meng | 52c | 536.66$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.69 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…6575backed Ding Meng | 54c | 531.32$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Jose Henrique | 48c | 517.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…fe14backed Jose Henrique | 74c | 506.52$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.58 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Ding Meng | 34c | 505.97$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.03 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Jose Henrique | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Ding Meng | 51c | 500$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Ding Meng | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Ding Meng | 53c | 496.15$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Ding Meng | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Ding Meng | 53c | 470.72$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Jose Henrique | 49c | 404.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Jose Henrique | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Jose Henrique | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…e1e3backed Jose Henrique | 65c | 395.05$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1b…65d7backed Jose Henrique | 51c | 390.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.34 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Jose Henrique | 49c | 387.75$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x719a…7b25backed Ding Meng | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ding Meng | 54c | 378.74$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.74 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Jose Henrique | 40c | 375.49$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.21 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…83b2backed Ding Meng | 40c | 375.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a5…e6dbbacked Jose Henrique | 49c | 358.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…ac04backed Jose Henrique | 49c | 347.65$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Ding Meng | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…78b5backed Ding Meng | 54c | 334.86$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.82 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Ding Meng | 18c | 329$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Jose Henrique | 48c | 319.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Jose Henrique | 53c | 309$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.54 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked Jose Henrique | 49c | 306.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked Jose Henrique | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Ding Meng | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Jose Henrique | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.