TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ddf…2c83

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
668
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: AI, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category AI at 57 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT28126.3%74 W · 207 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 281 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,974.55
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.35
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.62
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.22
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.79
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.86
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+331.4%+$2,585.35
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.67
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.49
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$516
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,638.79
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.19
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35,428Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$20,080.28
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.68
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$61.9
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+32%+$97
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.13
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.33
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+471.4%+$63.52
Showing 25 of 281 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST5311.3%6 W · 47 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$38.46
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$53.51
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.93
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+609.9%+$300.7
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$88.97
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$45.54
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$54.69
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$41.8
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25.46
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.44
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+1,713.9%+$317.42
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$55.21
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$4,853.41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,040Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+147.7%+$4,490.22
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$62.86
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.19
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$58.62
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$921Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$920.91
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,324Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.5%+$390.09
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT4314%6 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-67.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.69
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.94
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$156
Will "The Addams Family" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$90
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25.49
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.96
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$29.57
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+177%+$63.9
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$3.93
Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$77.42
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,162.73
Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$98.95
Will "A Cowboy Christmas Romance" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?backed Avatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$549.34
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.85
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3740.5%15 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+525%+$83.99
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+166.3%+$137.4
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$162
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$61.95
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$123.61
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$123.3
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$37.53
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$31.99
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$168
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$43.88
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$139.25
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$55.47
Will Grok be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.17
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+304.6%+$349.1
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.49
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+545.2%+$169
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$86.51
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,172.53
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT3724.3%9 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.83
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.05
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$93.3
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$375
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.85
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.06
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.4
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$59.4
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$389.47
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+90.7%+$451.66
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$27.51
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Will Denk be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$491.45
Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.37
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.29
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+34.6%+$269.99
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$103.97
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.03
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$3,410.4
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,710Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+77%+$2,857.94
Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+257.1%+$30
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3234.4%11 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$335
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$232
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$219
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+376.2%+$37.92
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.03
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT3132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$23.95
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$7,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,187.78
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+209.1%+$123.03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,387.6
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.43
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.61
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,904.15
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$500.78
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$144.75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.2
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,830Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$1,165.44
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$788.99
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.72
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.7
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$147.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,451.59
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.96
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+288%+$319.12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.4
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$203
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.69
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.35
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.82
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.24
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
Will Powell say "Sorry" or "Pardon" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.89
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$47.26
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$111.85
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.91
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$44.15
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+181.9%+$645.29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.03
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$696.72
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$546.61
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$53.42
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$346.76
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+190.3%+$142.95
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+35.3%+$50.9
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+185.7%+$390
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$175
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$269
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$20
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+36.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.18
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$636.4
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$707.58
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$94.8
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+377.9%+$256.96
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$755.79
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+626.1%+$2,377.48
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$246.87
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$813.8
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+219.3%+$96.15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97.05
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+141.9%+$283.88
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid+11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$44.33
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancebacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.25
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+900%+$180
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$366
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$49.55
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jefferson Nascimento · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+408.5%+$482
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Matt Schnell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Édgar Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Priscila Cachoeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tallison Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ding Meng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+441.2%+$171.2
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed William Gomis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.29
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+53.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+512.3%+$425.03
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+311%+$262.21
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.8%+$46.05
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.29
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team magixx (BO3)backed Team magixx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$46.45
Counter-Strike: WOPA Esport vs XI Esport (BO3)backed WOPA Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$804.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+113.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$3,726.74
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+59%+$37.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+64.8%+$118
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$61.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.89
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+219.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+219.8%+$75.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$243.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$195.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$45.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.