Movies · resolved market
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x969b16b7f18e62f57f5f92c8b46ff42117045fafa77ff081f9f8e59a65496d14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Yes | 45c | 4,993$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.22 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed No | 10c | 4,074$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.88 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…3a94backed No | 2c | 1,926$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked No | 5c | 1,416$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 31c | 1,373$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.79 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 17c | 1,114$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.83 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 9c | 974.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 7c | 892.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked No | 6c | 856.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb4…c6c9backed No | 6c | 837.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…aeb5backed No | 10c | 808$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed Yes | 37c | 784.2$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…2284backed No | 11c | 750$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…d24dbacked No | 11c | 570$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 446.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 37c | 445.9$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes | 38c | 377.18$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.65 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c26…7a7abacked No | 17c | 353.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…c6d4backed Yes | 60c | 335.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…0854backed No | 4c | 331.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 49c | 316.49$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb796…58a8backed Yes | 76c | 299.53$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 13c | 298.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 35c | 286.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.66 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 17c | 281.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.24 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e8…e923backed Yes | 59c | 206.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 116 | 4.3%5 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…6563backed Yes | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 53c | 195.13$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked No | 69c | 192.13$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 15c | 191.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes | 22c | 185.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.97 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59c2…de58backed Yes | 36c | 172.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 52c | 161.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3544…93dcbacked No | 64c | 157.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 14c | 135.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 39c | 120.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…fd3bbacked Yes | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…c078backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 37c | 96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…d25ebacked Yes | 57c | 88.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 47c | 84.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…9710backed Yes | 36c | 83.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 73c | 82.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 27c | 81.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 46c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…6cb7backed Yes | 57c | 72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked Yes | 59c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed Yes | 20c | 62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 77c | 52.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 40c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked Yes | 54c | 27.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…f433backed Yes | 57c | 27.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…143bbacked Yes | 45c | 26.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 59c | 25.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589f…4046backed Yes | 57c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…4e84backed No | 69c | 21.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…cbbebacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe61d…e172backed Yes | 59c | 19.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)this page
- Will "11.22.63" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No won
- Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No won
- Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No won
- Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.