Movies · resolved market
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10c73ea25d6723863cba8d12a6710f564b8388d396e0fd2e7f9bd3c8a16bea38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 20c | 6,916$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.85 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 14c | 3,979$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.61 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked Yes | 33c | 3,807$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 18c | 2,653$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.48 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…f53bbacked Yes | 62c | 2,228$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…4027backed Yes | 54c | 1,933$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.31 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed No | 46c | 1,563$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.26 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…3a94backed Yes | 51c | 1,396$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.1 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 58c | 1,325$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.64 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 38c | 1,188$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.05 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,155$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked No | 65c | 1,137$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.51 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed Yes | 11c | 920$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 15c | 889.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.09 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 3c | 620.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 28c | 547$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.34 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c26…7a7abacked Yes | 8c | 499.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed No | 47c | 440$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.62 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 419.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 8c | 351.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 348.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 44c | 342.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.94 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 43c | 334$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.36 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 318.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 4c | 301.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked Yes | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 61c | 295.86$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.01 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367f…7b0bbacked Yes | 31c | 288.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 288.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 116 | 4.3%5 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 54c | 259.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 57c | 240.4$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed Yes | 9c | 240$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 57c | 219.24$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…c6bfbacked Yes | 68c | 218.84$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5b…afe2backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 187.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3544…93dcbacked Yes | 57c | 175.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9b…3bb8backed Yes | 68c | 146.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…40c6backed No | 49c | 137.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 16c | 135$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 54c | 134.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…6632backed Yes | 39c | 100.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed No | 44c | 96.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a04…a33bbacked No | 56c | 91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 41c | 89.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 17c | 84.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…6cb7backed Yes | 44c | 81.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 19c | 74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked Yes | 67c | 60.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…b9a0backed No | 55c | 60.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 35c | 57.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed Yes | 28c | 53.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…e9dcbacked Yes | 21c | 51.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe61d…e172backed Yes | 63c | 49.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…a0e2backed Yes | 60c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…4d00backed Yes | 72c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…88e1backed Yes | 52c | 44.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 60c | 43.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e8…e923backed Yes | 70c | 43.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 45c | 42.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc2…0540backed Yes | 75c | 40.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…ba51backed Yes | 64c | 40.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…83d7backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…1c40backed No | 40c | 39.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…26fabacked Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 55c | 38.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…4e84backed Yes | 59c | 33.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed Yes | 66c | 33.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…387bbacked Yes | 64c | 32.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…9710backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…4fe4backed No | 39c | 32.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…a321backed Yes | 65c | 30.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…11cdbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…f2ebbacked No | 44c | 29.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…257ebacked Yes | 70c | 28.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed Yes | 71c | 27.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a3…5adabacked Yes | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af3…c181backed Yes | 73c | 25.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae67…a694backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 73c | 22.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6c…cd29backed Yes | 76c | 20.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4ef1backed Yes | 75c | 20.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…6408backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…8379backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b77…b1e1backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…4a33backed Yes | 60c | 17.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…77e5backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)this page
- Will "11.22.63" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No won
- Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No won
- Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)Yes won
- Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.