Ukraine · resolved market
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd8c8bbbae729acd83366d3f118e428864be2db0678496879e446aa09d284345
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $391,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes | 78c | 29,271$22,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,352.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 22,897$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 18,599$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…665abacked Yes | 65c | 14,129$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,929.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…7234backed No | 3c | 12,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 46c | 11,816$5,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…7a13backed No | 60c | 10,502$6,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,305.61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…a55bbacked Yes | 42c | 9,407$3,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,467.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 70c | 9,243$6,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked No | 20c | 6,464$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e8…a409backed No | 5c | 6,395$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3961backed No | 37c | 5,958$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.24 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 37c | 4,982$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.22 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 57c | 4,952$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.71 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 29c | 4,759$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.84 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked No | 39c | 4,710$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 54c | 4,527$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 24c | 4,500$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.58 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 37c | 4,172$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.25 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4f…4594backed No | 14c | 4,015$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 3c | 3,762$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 19cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 33c | 3,106$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.66 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…5057backed No | 32c | 3,077$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.57 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 25c | 2,983$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.3 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…cfa3backed No | 40c | 2,965$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 68c | 2,954$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1be…b87bbacked No | 32c | 2,943$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Yes | 47c | 2,937$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.47 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 59c | 2,782$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.63 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 68c | 2,766$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.15 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed No | 49c | 2,703$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.96 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…69ddbacked No | 22c | 2,642$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc2…a786backed Yes | 39c | 2,539$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…ac7ebacked Yes | 41c | 2,412$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…bc66backed No | 21c | 2,354$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 2,337$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…99c9backed No | 29c | 2,337$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 46c | 2,326$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.17 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 1,995$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.07 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 29c | 1,964$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.6 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…4425backed No | 41c | 1,945$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…9104backed Yes | 45c | 1,671$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9178backed Yes | 13c | 1,576$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.96 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 37c | 1,574$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.62 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked No | 31c | 1,541$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.1 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 28c | 1,535$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.17 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…fbc1backed No | 24c | 1,531$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 55c | 1,517$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.84 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.37 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked No | 77c | 1,487$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.97 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 27c | 1,452$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.34 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c1…f6bebacked No | 58c | 1,406$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 21c | 1,405$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 19c | 1,400$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.75 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…a6f4backed Yes | 23c | 1,347$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +251.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…7324backed Yes | 28c | 1,321$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.19 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed No | 58c | 1,308$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +101%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 3c | 1,300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…191abacked Yes | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…1fc0backed Yes | 28c | 1,287$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc87…d040backed Yes | 80c | 1,256$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked Yes | 22c | 1,237$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.83 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 30c | 1,214$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 23c | 1,200$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.47 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…4546backed No | 18c | 1,120$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa832…abf8backed Yes | 69c | 1,111$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed No | 22c | 1,025$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…141dbacked Yes | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked No | 25c | 996.82$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.86 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 19c | 989.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…d2b4backed Yes | 59c | 968.59$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4f…831ebacked No | 26c | 946.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…d264backed No | 32c | 939.04$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Yes | 44c | 935.09$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.09 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 64c | 934.34$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 71c | 929.83$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.22 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 55c | 899.98$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.52 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…aee7backed No | 31c | 899.17$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Yes | 80c | 893.02$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed No | 43c | 854.75$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.9 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 21c | 817.69$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Yes | 69c | 807.07$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…e028backed No | 38c | 790$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed No | 21c | 769.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…1c09backed Yes | 20c | 764.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +272.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfa…fc37backed Yes | 13c | 762.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +232.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…0f0ebacked No | 62c | 758.16$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked No | 43c | 754.19$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 40c | 749.62$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.6 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7be…539fbacked No | 56c | 743.58$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e09…05bbbacked Yes | 66c | 726.39$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…74d8backed Yes | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed No | 27c | 700$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 35c | 693.03$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.87 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 35c | 668.94$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b2…6f4abacked Yes | 75c | 663.51$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a23…66efbacked Yes | 64c | 660$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 50c | 648.69$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.33 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 45c | 635.92$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.66 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked No | 67c | 629.99$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?this page
- Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.