Ukraine · resolved market
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceaabba2b685fab40e6ee1411e4ed06c7a5e517ba211530eda7721c5d05a47a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 11,310$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 19c | 6,735$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3961backed No | 10c | 6,161$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.01 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 6c | 5,864$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…a55bbacked Yes | 65c | 4,002$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…5057backed No | 35c | 3,546$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.23 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…7a13backed No | 28c | 3,302$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked No | 2c | 3,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 9cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 16c | 2,999$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.28 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked No | 22c | 2,671$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.2 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 59c | 2,419$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 33c | 2,332$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.39 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 5c | 2,222$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 11c | 2,000$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed No | 9c | 1,900$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.53 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 1c | 1,880$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 19cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 75c | 1,607$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.14 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 6c | 1,500$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 43c | 1,479$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.67 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 12c | 1,455$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed No | 15c | 1,338$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 9c | 1,318$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked No | 35c | 1,285$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4f…4594backed No | 7c | 1,249$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 1,199$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 12c | 1,167$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.37 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e6…4f99backed Yes | 32c | 1,100$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Yes | 70c | 1,099$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.19 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 9c | 1,028$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,028$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…69ddbacked No | 23c | 1,025$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…5875backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…d264backed No | 12c | 952.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 10c | 900$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked No | 10c | 888.42$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 4c | 848.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 18c | 843.55$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 6c | 827.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed No | 7c | 818.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 68c | 811.04$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.35 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 17c | 800$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…4345backed No | 35c | 788.98$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Yes | 28c | 787.44$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 12c | 780.02$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 771.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf234…0103backed Yes | 41c | 649.43$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +373%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed No | 3c | 632.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 7c | 600$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked No | 4c | 600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked No | 71c | 576.67$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.79 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…f231backed No | 18c | 559.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd6…48d4backed Yes | 34c | 556.33$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…b79abacked No | 9c | 554.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…35e6backed No | 65c | 540$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.6 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked No | 15c | 500$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 12c | 493.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…ca66backed Yes | 38c | 373.31$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8469…dab0backed Yes | 36c | 370$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…cb5ebacked No | 32c | 339.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c89…02b3backed No | 10c | 311.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…1f9dbacked No | 32c | 309.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7be…539fbacked No | 19c | 295.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…ae6dbacked No | 5c | 290$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 8c | 282.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…5645backed No | 10c | 272.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 4c | 264.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 11c | 253.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…3a92backed No | 8c | 247.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…fb07backed No | 10c | 242.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…450bbacked No | 9c | 230.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 53c | 230$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…1a76backed No | 33c | 229.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked Yes | 55c | 225.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…5c24backed No | 13c | 225$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b8…11a5backed No | 9c | 222.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked No | 30c | 216.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked No | 6c | 208.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 8c | 205$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18e…e00ebacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5768…08fdbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 19c | 199.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 15c | 197.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 9c | 192$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa1…bf41backed Yes | 65c | 183.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…a6f4backed Yes | 36c | 182.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +251.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed No | 14c | 182.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 10c | 178.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…6b3abacked No | 11c | 175.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…aa99backed Yes | 32c | 160$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 23cpaid | +193.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 17c | 158$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 43c | 152.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…ee12backed No | 36c | 131.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…5630backed No | 70c | 118.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…1c09backed Yes | 42c | 117.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +272.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7082…3a10backed No | 9c | 111.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Yes | 74c | 110$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 36c | 79.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?this page
- Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.