TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4262…abaa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4566.7%30 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.62
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$35.07
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$11.35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.85
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$11.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.87
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$157
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$273
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+214.5%+$136.4
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$5.4
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$18.35
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$91.41
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$92
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$160.28
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$87.79
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40%+$110.27
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.45
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chip Neiman be the Wyoming State Senate District 1 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$15.9
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+87%+$69.8
Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$57
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.1
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.49
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,394Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$656.35
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.35
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,877Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$471.47
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$30.66
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?backed Dems · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$14
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.1%+$19.29
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+254.5%+$416.39
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.57
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$40.5
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$404.99
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$89.47
Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.9
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.55
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$8.15
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.65
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.7
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$12.03
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-53.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.42
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$187.74
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$33.5
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.2
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.04
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$63.98
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.26
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.53
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$52
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$101
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$150.31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.43
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.6%+$19.32
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+94.2%+$194
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$41.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$250.35
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.25
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$55.35
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+46%+$25.19
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+61.5%+$120.15
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.5%+$24.8
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+65.3%+$31.6
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.78
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.29
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.19
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.99
Game Handicap: LNG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+45.6%+$18.8
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+34.8%+$7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.75
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+58.1%+$7.04
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+149.5%+$31.1
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$431.33
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.96
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$54.9
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$464.19
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+29.4%+$18.16
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+54.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Fernandes be named to the 2026 PFA Premier League Team of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$60
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26%+$47.69
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.18
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$121.33
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.03
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$67.39
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.95
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+206.7%+$183.87
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$17.37
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32.27
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-Bidi-1 be released by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$22.9
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$17.51
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.2
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.68
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.57
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+69.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+60.9%+$45.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$14.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.