Venezuela · resolved market
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaeb9d120a69ad3bdc3b7f6d3b0965a1960a998a4469241dd796c2c96b232832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $396,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $430,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e67…77adbacked No | 1c | 73,780$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…2ae0backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked No | 6c | 17,453$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.45 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86cd…504cbacked Yes | 60c | 10,324$6,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,138.48 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35cb…bd5fbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…c780backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…53a1backed No | 47c | 9,840$4,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,585.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 45c | 9,699$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 0c | 9,265$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…268abacked Yes | 41c | 6,588$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea6…b249backed Yes | 58c | 5,201$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.59 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 40c | 5,119$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.94 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed No | 3c | 4,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…2a9fbacked Yes | 50c | 4,423$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…31e1backed Yes | 58c | 4,086$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…974ebacked Yes | 43c | 3,404$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…4ad4backed Yes | 42c | 3,394$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.29 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 25cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 77c | 3,290$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…cc73backed Yes | 31c | 3,198$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…2dd9backed No | 60c | 3,023$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…d29ebacked No | 0c | 3,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…6b12backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 45c | 2,954$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.07 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…4dc6backed No | 15c | 2,897$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5621…5245backed Yes | 53c | 2,794$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcb…63efbacked Yes | 37c | 2,750$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 52c | 2,622$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 0c | 2,542$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 5c | 2,480$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c95…4d15backed Yes | 62c | 2,402$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…eb6dbacked Yes | 57c | 2,377$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 26c | 2,377$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21a0…dd1dbacked Yes | 62c | 2,265$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 50c | 2,237$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.47 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a1b0backed Yes | 48c | 2,190$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…a024backed Yes | 55c | 2,090$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +283.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed No | 56c | 2,036$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a7…02fabacked Yes | 65c | 2,021$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.01 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 63c | 1,758$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.49 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb232…b555backed Yes | 58c | 1,734$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +216.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 52c | 1,703$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.08 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked No | 40c | 1,689$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc01c…7808backed Yes | 60c | 1,611$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943c…1d17backed No | 39c | 1,606$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 44c | 1,596$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.95 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dba…2ac5backed No | 2c | 1,512$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed No | 66c | 1,512$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 26c | 1,500$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,426$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.27 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed No | 63c | 1,422$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…0095backed No | 54c | 1,400$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 54c | 1,274$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…ec8cbacked No | 63c | 1,265$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…3803backed Yes | 45c | 1,246$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 55c | 1,234$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 40c | 1,111$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.81 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed No | 43c | 1,100$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…bc81backed No | 74c | 1,085$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd910…6f24backed No | 52c | 983.22$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…c364backed No | 74c | 978.91$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 63c | 973.92$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.09 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 940.17$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.63 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8a…ede7backed No | 1c | 890.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b1…e593backed No | 36c | 874.09$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…b853backed No | 53c | 858.33$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…de48backed No | 65c | 852.45$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 43c | 821.18$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc854…10ccbacked Yes | 57c | 810.41$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +261.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 57c | 794.82$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.43 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 44c | 779.56$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.94 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 17c | 778.66$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.26 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…fa11backed No | 65c | 767.74$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 7c | 765.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…e26dbacked Yes | 53c | 751.69$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…c218backed Yes | 63c | 751.62$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.32 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 62c | 748.09$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.09 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…ed43backed No | 16c | 727.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…3868backed No | 54c | 707.89$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…7807backed No | 58c | 700$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 13c | 696.29$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 24c | 663.92$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.61 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 43c | 652.07$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…d94fbacked No | 32c | 647.56$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…d186backed No | 77c | 646.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 76c | 621.5$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514c…2485backed Yes | 44c | 592.76$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 9cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 27c | 576.62$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.33 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 27c | 572.39$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…bfb2backed No | 58c | 569.18$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…e846backed No | 55c | 563.85$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb3…2965backed Yes | 18c | 542.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.49per pick | 22cpaid | +238.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 56c | 535.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f33…bbd2backed Yes | 38c | 516.95$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 31c | 515.58$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.36 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 59c | 509.01$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.32 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed No | 63c | 499.86$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…21d7backed No | 48c | 499.2$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…1db1backed Yes | 49c | 412.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +212.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?this page
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 23?No won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?No won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?Yes won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.