Venezuela · resolved market
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7299739226853e183345f104a0af9c410534ed862dd9100c7b1c00ecafc5d67a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked No | 5c | 5,636$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.25 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 2c | 5,200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 66c | 2,468$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.69 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcb…63efbacked Yes | 61c | 2,197$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 15c | 1,469$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.76 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 34c | 1,097$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.29 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…eb6dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,048$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 40c | 971.05$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed No | 58c | 954.19$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked No | 38c | 945.87$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…2dd9backed No | 37c | 878.24$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 51c | 862.2$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a7…02fabacked Yes | 56c | 802.13$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.46 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 752.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…974ebacked Yes | 39c | 725.93$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 76c | 577.76$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 8c | 560.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 29cpaid | +255%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…f8c8backed No | 22c | 548.26$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 35c | 518.01$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.57 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 5c | 514.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 45c | 513.46$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.06 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 30c | 498.49$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…8ac3backed No | 51c | 490.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 23c | 456.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 79c | 446.48$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 73c | 393.45$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed7…5f67backed Yes | 51c | 372$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 42c | 365.22$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 60c | 352.1$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.05 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 69c | 332.33$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 34c | 320.23$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…66cebacked Yes | 64c | 312.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86cd…504cbacked Yes | 54c | 303.64$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb3…2965backed Yes | 34c | 300.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.49per pick | 22cpaid | +238.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea6…b249backed Yes | 66c | 291.51$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked No | 31c | 287$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 12c | 282.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607e…4011backed No | 72c | 277.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…4ad4backed Yes | 30c | 264.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 25cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e02…11dbbacked No | 39c | 256.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…6b67backed Yes | 64c | 250.41$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 62c | 250$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…4dc6backed No | 17c | 249.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db9…4100backed Yes | 59c | 246.35$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.34 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…db58backed Yes | 43c | 232.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…87adbacked No | 35c | 189.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…3803backed Yes | 64c | 185.68$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…ac87backed No | 31c | 171.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23a7…16b7backed Yes | 61c | 163.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 65c | 160.81$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 57c | 157.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked No | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…505ebacked No | 72c | 139.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…3d55backed No | 70c | 135.45$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed No | 30c | 133.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 20c | 125.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…7930backed No | 70c | 115.12$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 61c | 112.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…66a2backed No | 45c | 107.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb873…3b11backed No | 49c | 105.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3039…8a62backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 11cpaid | +158.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…0387backed No | 50c | 96.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.34per pick | 57cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 54c | 94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 57c | 93.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 54c | 92.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…e610backed No | 35c | 92.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed Yes | 79c | 88.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 17c | 83.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…c218backed Yes | 70c | 80.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 76.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a45…c42dbacked No | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -63%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…5c1dbacked Yes | 27c | 73.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +265.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bb…d87cbacked No | 59c | 67.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7838…a1d9backed No | 23c | 64.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38b…d8a0backed No | 33c | 61.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…87d9backed No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b1…e593backed No | 36c | 56.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked Yes | 38c | 55.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 54c | 55.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 37c | 54.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8092…b8a2backed No | 45c | 51.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 52c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…3d47backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…335fbacked No | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…83d7backed No | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked No | 48c | 42.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…421dbacked No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…6e44backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb6…8be1backed No | 52c | 38.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 54c | 36.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?this page
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 23?No won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?No won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?Yes won
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.