TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73bc…335f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.68
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$378
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$186
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$187
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53%+$332.39
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.71
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+268.9%+$341.55
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$758.82
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+76%+$168.86
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.14
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+292.4%+$6,374.26
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+74.4%+$37.21
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+151.8%+$844
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-58.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+161.6%+$32.32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+341.8%+$239.28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.6
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$36
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Bianca Censori be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$139
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+174.9%+$61.22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+70.7%+$53.06
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+276.4%+$129.92
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+83.7%+$16.73
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$24.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick44cpaid-81.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$130
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+400%+$40
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+284.6%+$56.92
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$45
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$73
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+63.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$300.28
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$76.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$321
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.