Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0649f4e10bf9d6317a1835a9cc8ea71db5ffb0515e1b461351e8ed8a2260dba4

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 13, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $597,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $392,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,987 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0228…a700backed Yes	2c	41,800$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.36	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	32,622$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661.5	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	1c	25,174$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.66	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	7c	18,855$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,329.52	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	1c	11,194$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.97	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	8c	9,317$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.08	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	21c	8,115$1,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,732.03	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes	2c	7,363$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	0c	6,066$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.76	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	1c	5,814$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.55	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	5c	5,722$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.16	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	5,540$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.83	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc83…3a40backed Yes	2c	5,355$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…9480backed Yes	4c	5,346$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.15	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6855…ea31backed Yes	2c	5,233$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	17c	4,847$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.57	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4d…bfa0backed Yes	24c	4,651$1,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095.34	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8158…9a02backed Yes	0c	4,476$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes	11c	4,370$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.79	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5b…a593backed Yes	13c	3,862$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33d…9554backed Yes	3c	3,800$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.1	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	13c	3,559$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.99	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c91…b2febacked Yes	17c	3,534$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.76	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	9c	3,324$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.58	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	17c	3,234$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.89	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked No	75c	2,800$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…568ebacked Yes	13c	2,800$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.33	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x637b…5c6bbacked Yes	1c	2,735$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x720f…0aabbacked Yes	2c	2,732$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc164…74d4backed Yes	6c	2,500$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	29cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d3…9249backed Yes	16c	2,460$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	52	7.7%4 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe81b…ddc2backed Yes	21c	2,380$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5586…a0b6backed Yes	5c	2,200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5436…e29ebacked Yes	13c	2,156$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.84	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	13c	2,068$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad47…20e4backed Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cde…b42abacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	85	8.2%7 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c32…377fbacked Yes	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5713…e818backed Yes	20c	1,961$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes	6c	1,881$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.07	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes	6c	1,796$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.77	70	5.7%4 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2704…2427backed Yes	2c	1,664$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.52	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62d7…7e85backed Yes	15c	1,664$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.29	89	7.9%7 W · 82 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3d…804ebacked Yes	24c	1,650$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3857…1841backed Yes	4c	1,600$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.4	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce05…9176backed Yes	9c	1,500$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	28cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86bd…3d10backed Yes	2c	1,384$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	8c	1,360$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.6	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes	21c	1,305$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.84	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-89.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	25c	1,301$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c56…a4f4backed Yes	5c	1,300$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.4	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,224$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.48	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed No	78c	1,106$864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.79	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	2c	1,068$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.16	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce03…5608backed Yes	2c	1,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcaa0…1df7backed Yes	11c	1,000$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb73…8890backed Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x328b…a089backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes	24c	972.5$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.54	84	17.9%15 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes	28c	935.96$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.07	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x879f…8417backed Yes	3c	913.36$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd046…3432backed Yes	22c	912$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd87…6957backed Yes	22c	908$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e40…5f04backed Yes	10c	888$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.36	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c0…a09dbacked Yes	3c	821.08$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	138	18.8%26 W · 112 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes	18c	800$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	20.2%19 W · 75 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes	13c	758.61$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	+154.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240d…bfd2backed Yes	16c	750$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.5	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	13c	699.99$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d02…220abacked Yes	24c	697.01$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	84	14.3%12 W · 72 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42f9…5d7abacked No	79c	694.97$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.99	96	20.8%20 W · 76 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f8…96afbacked Yes	10c	688.66$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaba…23f5backed No	77c	673.16$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.56	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9973…bc03backed Yes	12c	668$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.23	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0582…90a7backed Yes	3c	639.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	15c	636.99$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.04	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a2…c111backed Yes	20c	634.58$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98b…6430backed Yes	2c	625$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e09…fd64backed Yes	2c	625$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e3…49fabacked Yes	14c	620.97$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	67	14.9%10 W · 57 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe04a…094fbacked Yes	18c	600$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a84…a46bbacked Yes	23c	599.98$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7189…a1adbacked Yes	2c	595.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5d4…e7f7backed Yes	4c	588.36$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd2…943bbacked Yes	2c	571.94$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	14cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcdb…9362backed Yes	2c	561.55$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	9c	553.13$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.38	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0927…6486backed Yes	15c	539.99$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.4	145	15.2%22 W · 123 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes	19c	525.87$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	147	18.4%27 W · 120 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…b3a6backed Yes	24c	518.71$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.49	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x213e…98b7backed Yes	18c	505.12$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.2	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2dc…e100backed Yes	13c	502.56$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	46	13%6 W · 40 L	-5.2wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2021…a8d5backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa772…b18cbacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4c…3cc7backed No	71c	500$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2c…8c84backed Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…04cebacked Yes	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…cfb8backed Yes	23c	500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event