TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa772…b18c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Commodities, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 59 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$158
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$571.91
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+59.7%+$112.12
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$185
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52
T20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25%+$20
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$72
T20 World Cup: Canada vs South Africa (Game 1)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
T20 World Cup: Oman vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
T20 World Cup: India vs USA (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.2%+$178
U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs India Under-19sbacked India Under-19s · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
WPL: Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women vs Delhi Capitals Womenbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+241.6%+$778
International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25%+$20
U19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19sbacked India Under-19s · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+66%+$158.98
International T20 Series: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 3)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$160
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+111.9%+$75.98
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.41
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+33.8%+$177
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$82.5
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+48.7%+$327.5
ILT20: Dubai Capitals vs MI Emirates (Game 1)backed Dubai Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$280
All 22 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$12.36
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.44
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.6%+$105
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$92
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$29.8
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+367.4%+$298.69
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$568
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$266
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$123.52
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$124.65
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+77.8%+$350
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$11.2
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$12.14
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$10.9
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$33.84
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$10.6
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$36.4
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$63
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.65
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.16
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$100.7
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$38.23
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.91
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 9 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$600
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,017.31
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,723Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+79.9%+$1,377
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$310
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+36.8%+$215.37
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+25%+$40
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+128%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+110.5%+$52.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.